The NFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs features Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus the Washington Commanders at 8:00 PM ET Sunday at Raymond James Stadium. Let’s break down all of the prop bets available for Mayfield in this matchup, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Baker Mayfield to go over 252.5 yards
Baker Mayfield Prop Lines
- Matchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Washington Commanders
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Date: January 12, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 252.5 (-110)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 19.5 (-115)
Baker Mayfield Stats and Trends
- Mayfield has passed for 4,500 yards (264.7 per game), completing 71.4% of his passes, with 41 TDs and 16 INTs.
- Mayfield is throwing for 264.7 yards per game, which is more than his prop bet total for this contest of 252.5.
- In 10 games this year, Mayfield has passed for over 252.5 yards.
- His average passing yards prop this year is 243.6, which he has surpassed by 21.1 yards per game.
- This year, Mayfield has exceeded his passing yards prop total in 10 of 17 opportunities.
- He has completed a touchdown pass in 16 of 17 games this season — including multiple TDs 12 times.
- In addition Mayfield has 377 yards rushing on 60 attempts with three TDs, averaging 22.2 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Commanders
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buccaneers | 280 | 4 |
| 2 | Giants | 175 | 2 |
| 3 | Bengals | 312 | 3 |
| 4 | Cardinals | 115 | 1 |
| 5 | Browns | 108 | 1 |
| 6 | Ravens | 308 | 1 |
| 7 | Panthers | 85 | 0 |
| 8 | Bears | 111 | 0 |
| 9 | Giants | 162 | 2 |
| 10 | Steelers | 172 | 3 |
| 11 | Eagles | 206 | 0 |
| 12 | Cowboys | 241 | 2 |
| 13 | Titans | 210 | 2 |
| 15 | Saints | 176 | 2 |
| 16 | Eagles | 127 | 1 |
| 17 | Falcons | 211 | 1 |
| 18 | Cowboys | 228 | 0 |
Buccaneers Home Splits
- The Buccaneers put up 28.6 points per game in home games (0.9 less than their overall average), and give up 22.6 at home (same as overall).
- At home, the Buccaneers accumulate 394.8 yards per game and give up 330.6. That’s less than they gain (399.5) and allow (341.8) overall.
- The Buccaneers rack up 263.3 passing yards per game at home (12.9 more than their overall average), and give up 216.2 at home (27.7 less than overall).
- The Buccaneers’ average yards rushing at home (131.4) is lower than their overall average (149.1). But their average yards allowed at home (114.3) is higher than overall (97.8).
- At home, the Buccaneers convert 54.8% of third downs and allow 35% to be converted. That’s more than they convert overall (50.9%), and less than they allow (38.1%).
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