Baker Mayfield will take the field with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers when they play the New Orleans Saints at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday in Week 14 of the 2025 NFL season. In this piece, we’ll break down Mayfield’s stats and trends to help you pick out the top bets among his props for this outing.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Baker Mayfield to go over 216.5 yards
Baker Mayfield Prop Lines
- Matchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 7, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 216.5 (-113)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 14.5 (-107)
Baker Mayfield Stats and Trends
- Mayfield has thrown for 2,600 yards (216.7 per game), completing 62.8% of his throws, with 19 TDs and five INTs.
- Mayfield is throwing for 216.7 yards per game, which is 0.2 more than his over/under on Sunday.
- In six of 12 games this season, Mayfield has eclipsed 216.5 passing yards.
- His average prop bet for passing yards this year has been 234.9. His actual passing average is below that — by 18.2 yards per game.
- So far this year, Mayfield has eclipsed his passing yards prop total in four of 12 opportunities.
- He has completed a touchdown pass in 11 of 12 games this year — including multiple TDs six times.
- In addition Mayfield has 243 yards rushing on 37 attempts with one TD, averaging 20.3 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Saints
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardinals | 130 | 2 |
| 2 | 49ers | 267 | 3 |
| 3 | Seahawks | 233 | 2 |
| 4 | Bills | 191 | 2 |
| 5 | Giants | 199 | 2 |
| 6 | Patriots | 260 | 3 |
| 7 | Bears | 164 | 0 |
| 8 | Buccaneers | 124 | 0 |
| 9 | Rams | 267 | 4 |
| 10 | Panthers | 102 | 0 |
| 12 | Falcons | 181 | 2 |
| 13 | Dolphins | 134 | 0 |
Buccaneers Home Splits
- In home games, the Buccaneers put up 25.4 points per game and concede 24.4. That’s more than they score overall (23.3), but less than they give up (25.1).
- The Buccaneers’ average yards gained at home (345) is higher than their overall average (316.2). But their average yards conceded at home (330.2) is lower than overall (344.9).
- The Buccaneers rack up 237.4 passing yards per game at home (31.1 more than their overall average), and give up 227.2 at home (20.3 less than overall).
- The Buccaneers accumulate 107.6 rushing yards per game at home (2.2 less than their overall average), and concede 103 at home (5.6 more than overall).
- The Buccaneers’ third-down percentages on offense (34.9%) and defense (36.5%) at home are both lower than their overall numbers of 39.6% and 39.7%, respectively.
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