Baylor vs. Arizona State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Baylor Bears (13-13, 3-10 Big 12) are favored (-7.5) to end a four-game losing streak when they host the Arizona State Sun Devils (14-12, 5-8 Big 12) at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at Foster Pavilion. The contest airs on ESPN2. The point total in the matchup is set at 157.5.

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Baylor Cover -7.5 vs Arizona State -113

Bet $20, Payout $37.70

Baylor vs. Arizona State betting lines

  • Baylor moneyline odds to win: -364
  • Arizona State moneyline odds to win: +279
  • Spread: Baylor (-7.5)
  • Total: 157.5

Baylor statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Baylor has a better record against the spread in home games (5-8-0) than it does on the road (3-5-0).
  • The Bears have eclipsed the total in a higher percentage of home games (69.2%) than away games (25%).
  • Baylor has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 7-1 (.875). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 1-2 (.333).

Recent trends

  • The Bears have been scoring 73.9 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s significantly lower than the 83.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
  • The last 10 games have seen Baylor concede 3.2 more points per game (79.9) than its season-long average (76.7).
  • During their past 10 outings, the Bears are making 0.5 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.7 compared to 8.2 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (31.3% compared to 34.5% season-long).

Baylor betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-15-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 3-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 8-6-0; As Underdog: 2-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-12-0 (Home: 9-4-0; Away: 2-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-3 (Home: 7-1; Away: 1-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-10 (Home: 0-4; Away: 1-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.5 (51st in nation) 44.7 (217th) 34.7 (60th) 29.2 (74th) 15.6 (81st) 11.6 (231st)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Baylor vs. Arizona State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Arizona State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This season, Arizona State is 8-5-0 at home against the spread (.615 winning percentage). Away, it is 4-4-0 ATS (.500).
  • In terms of the over/under, Sun Devils games have finished over four of 13 times at home (30.8%), and five of eight away (62.5%).
  • This year the Sun Devils are 2-2 at home when moneyline underdogs (.500 winning percentage). On the road they are 2-6 (.250).

Recent trends

  • The Sun Devils have performed worse offensively in their previous 10 games, posting 74.8 points per contest, 3.7 fewer points their than season average of 78.5.
  • In its previous 10 games, Arizona State is allowing 78.5 points per contest, 0.2 fewer points than its season average (78.7).
  • In their previous 10 games, the Sun Devils are making 8.1 three-pointers per game, 0.4 more than their season average (7.7). They also sport a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (36.5%) compared to their season average (34.2%).

Arizona State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-10-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 6-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-5-0; As Underdog: 11-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-14-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 5-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-3 (Home: 6-3; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-9 (Home: 2-2; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.9 (204th in nation) 46.0 (281st) 29.6 (306th) 32.0 (236th) 14.0 (171st) 11.0 (181st)
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