The Baylor Bears (5-1) are heavy favorites (-29.5) as they try to extend a four-game home winning streak when they square off against the Sacramento State Hornets (4-5) on Tuesday, December 2, 2025 at Foster Pavilion. The game airs at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under in the matchup is 158.5.
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Baylor Cover -29.5 vs Sacramento State -110
Baylor vs. Sacramento State betting lines
- Baylor moneyline odds to win: -6667
- Sacramento State moneyline odds to win: +2000
- Spread: Baylor (-29.5)
- Total: 158.5
Baylor statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Baylor covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games last season. Baylor covered eight times in 15 opportunities at home, and it covered one time in 11 opportunities in road games.
- The Bears hit the over on the total in a higher percentage of home games (60%) than road tilts (45.5%) last year.
- Baylor played better as a moneyline favorite in home games last season, sporting a home record of 12-2 home record, compared to going 3-1 on the road.
Last season stats
- On offense, the Bears were the 112th-ranked squad in college basketball (76.1 points per game) last year. Defensively, they were 104th (69.8 points conceded per game).
- Baylor grabbed 32.8 rebounds per game and conceded 29.9 boards last season, ranking 135th and 94th, respectively, in the country.
- The Bears were 111th in the nation in assists (14.4 per game) last season.
Baylor betting records this season
- ATS Record: 3-3-0 (Home: 1-2-0; Away: 0-0-0)
- O-U-P: 4-2-0 (Home: 2-1-0; Away: 0-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-0 (Home: 3-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.0 (121st in nation) | 48.8 (341st) | 34.3 (158th) | 29.0 (92nd) | 15.7 (124th) | 10.3 (69th) |
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Sacramento State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Sacramento State has a better winning percentage at home (.333, 1-2-0 record) than on the road (.250, 1-3-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Hornets games have finished over more often at home (two of three, 66.7%) than away (one of four, 25%).
- The Hornets, when moneyline underdogs, have won the same percentage of games at home (0-1) as on the road (0-4) this year.
Last season stats
- The Hornets put up just 66.2 points per game (15th-worst in college basketball) last season, but they played better on defense, where they allowed 70.5 points per game (131st-ranked).
- Sacramento State ranked 221st in college basketball with 31.2 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 60th with 29.3 rebounds allowed per game.
- The Hornets averaged 13.1 assists per game, which ranked them 214th in the nation.
Sacramento State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 2-5-0 (Home: 1-2-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- O-U-P: 3-4-0 (Home: 2-1-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-0 (Home: 1-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.0 (327th in nation) | 41.1 (103rd) | 36.7 (71st) | 36.4 (342nd) | 14.6 (177th) | 12.6 (229th) |
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