Baylor vs. Southern betting: College basketball preview for Dec. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Southern Jaguars (4-7) will look to end a three-game losing streak when they visit the Baylor Bears (8-2) on Sunday, December 21, 2025 at Foster Pavilion as big, 27.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 1 p.m. ET on TNT. The matchup’s point total is set at 169.5.

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Spread

Baylor Cover -27.5 vs Southern -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Baylor vs. Southern betting lines

  • Baylor moneyline odds to win: -8333
  • Southern moneyline odds to win: +2500
  • Spread: Baylor (-27.5)
  • Total: 169.5

Baylor statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread last season, Baylor fared better when playing at home, covering eight times in 15 home games, and one time in 11 road games.
  • When it came to over/unders, the Bears hit the over more consistently in home games last year, as they went over the total nine times in 15 opportunities (60%). On the road, they hit the over five times in 11 opportunities (45.5%).
  • As a moneyline favorite last season, Baylor won 12 of 14 games at home, good for a .857 winning percentage. Baylor won three of four games away from home (.750) as a moneyline favorite.

Last season stats

  • Offensively, the Bears were the 112th-ranked squad in college basketball (76.1 points per game) last season. On defense, they were 104th (69.8 points allowed per game).
  • With 32.8 rebounds per game and 29.9 rebounds allowed, Baylor was 135th and 94th in college basketball, respectively, last year.
  • At 14.4 assists per game last season, the Bears were 111th in the nation.

Baylor betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 5-5-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 0-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 27.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-4-0; As Underdog: 0-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-3-0 (Home: 5-1-0; Away: 0-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-1 (Home: 5-0; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.5 (39th in nation) 43.7 (192nd) 37.1 (45th) 28.5 (66th) 16.5 (81st) 11.1 (136th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Baylor vs. Southern? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Southern statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread last year, Southern had better results on the road (9-9-0) than at home (4-6-0).
  • In 2024-25, a lower percentage of the Jaguars’ games finished above the over/under at home (40%, four of 10) than on the road (44.4%, eight of 18).

Last season stats

  • The Jaguars scored 74.8 points per game (143rd-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 68.3 points per contest (61st-ranked).
  • Southern grabbed 34.8 boards per game (42nd-ranked in college basketball). It allowed 29.8 rebounds per contest (90th-ranked).
  • The Jaguars delivered 13.0 dimes per game, which ranked them 219th in college basketball.

Southern betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 4-4-0 (Home: 0-0-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 6-2-0 (Home: 0-0-0; Away: 6-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.9 (79th in nation) 43.6 (188th) 34.4 (128th) 33.5 (291st) 15.7 (119th) 13.5 (313th)
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