The TCU Horned Frogs (12-7, 2-4 Big 12) visit the Baylor Bears (11-7, 1-5 Big 12) after losing three straight road games. The Bears are favored by 4.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 24, 2026. The over/under in the matchup is set at 147.5.

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Baylor vs. TCU betting lines

• Baylor moneyline odds to win: -214
• TCU moneyline odds to win: +176
• Spread: Baylor (-4.5)
• Total: 147.5

Baylor statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Baylor has done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (4-6-0) than it has in road tilts (1-3-0).
• When it comes to point totals, the Bears hit the over more consistently when playing at home, as they’ve eclipsed the total seven times in 10 opportunities this season (70%). In away games, they have hit the over one time in four opportunities (25%).
• Baylor has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 6-0 (1.000). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 1-1 (.500).

Recent trends

• The Bears’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, putting up 85.2 points a contest compared to the 86.3 they’ve averaged this year.
• Baylor’s defense has been tougher as of late, as the team has allowed 71.8 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 75.9 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
• The Bears are trending up from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 8.7 threes per game and shooting 37.8% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 8.6 makes and 36.6% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Baylor betting records this season

• ATS Record: 7-10-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 1-3-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 7-4-0; As Underdog: 0-6-0)
• O-U-P: 10-7-0 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 1-3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-1 (Home: 6-0; Away: 1-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-6 (Home: 0-3; Away: 0-2)

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TCU statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Last season, TCU was 9-8-0 at home against the spread (.529 winning percentage). On the road, it was 3-8-0 ATS (.273).
• In terms of the over/under, Horned Frogs games went over five of 17 times at home (29.4%) and four of 11 away (36.4%) last year.
• Last year the Horned Frogs were 2-2 at home as moneyline underdogs (.500 winning percentage). On the road they were 2-9 (.182).

Recent trends

• Over their last 10 games, the Horned Frogs are posting 79.5 points per contest, 0.4 more than their season average (79.1).
• TCU is surrendering 71.4 points per game over its previous 10 games, which is 2.1 more points than it is allowing for the season (69.3).
• The Horned Frogs are making 7.8 treys per game over their previous 10 games, the same number as their average for the season. Meanwhile, they sport a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (34.2%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (33.9%).

TCU betting records this season

• ATS Record: 10-9-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 2-1-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 5-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-8-0; As Underdog: 5-1-0)
• O-U-P: 8-11-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 2-1-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-3 (Home: 9-2; Away: 0-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 0-2; Away: 0-2)