The Baylor Bears (17-12, 9-9 Big 12) are favored (by 3.5 points) to break a five-game road losing streak when they visit the TCU Horned Frogs (16-13, 9-9 Big 12) on Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under of 139.5 points.
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Baylor Cover -3.5 vs TCU -113
Baylor vs. TCU betting lines
- Baylor moneyline odds to win: -180
- TCU moneyline odds to win: +149
- Spread: Baylor (-3.5)
- Total: 139.5
Baylor statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Baylor has performed better at home, covering seven times in 14 home games, and one time in 10 road games.
- The Bears have hit the over on the over/under in nine of 14 home games (64.3%), compared to five of 10 road games (50%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Baylor has won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (.857) compared to away games (.667).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Bears have been putting up 73.8 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 77.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Baylor has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 73.9 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 69.9 points per game its opponents average over the 2024-25 season.
- The Bears are trending down from deep during their last 10 outings, making 7.9 threes per game and shooting 34.1% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 8.8 makes and 35.7% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
Baylor betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-18-1 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 1-8-1)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 7-7-1 (As Favorite: 9-9-1; As Underdog: 0-9-0)
- O-U-P: 16-12-0 (Home: 9-5-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-3 (Home: 12-2; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-9 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.2 (156th in nation) | 44.1 (195th) | 33.2 (110th) | 29.7 (91st) | 14.8 (94th) | 10.7 (127th) |
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TCU statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This season, TCU is 8-8-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). On the road, it is 3-7-0 ATS (.300).
- Looking at the over/under, Horned Frogs games have finished over five of 16 times at home (31.2%), and four of 10 away (40%).
- In 2024-25 when moneyline underdogs, the Horned Frogs have a better winning percentage at home (.667, 2-1 record) than away (.200, 2-8).
Recent trends
- Over their last 10 games, the Horned Frogs are compiling 66.5 points per game, compared to their season average of 68.3.
- TCU is ceding 70.4 points per contest over its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 68.7 points allowed.
- The Horned Frogs are making 5.1 threes per game in their previous 10 games, which is 1.0 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (6.1). In addition, they have a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (27.7%) compared to their season average from three-point land (30.2%).
TCU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-18-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 4-8-0 (As Favorite: 6-9-0; As Underdog: 5-9-0)
- O-U-P: 11-18-0 (Home: 5-11-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 11-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-10 (Home: 2-1; Away: 2-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.3 (311th in nation) | 44.2 (202nd) | 31.0 (239th) | 30.6 (145th) | 12.4 (268th) | 10.9 (147th) |
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