The UCF Knights (13-9, 4-7 Big 12) are heavy underdogs (+10.5) as they attempt to stop a three-game losing streak when they visit the Baylor Bears (14-8, 6-5 Big 12) at 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 8, 2025 at Foster Pavilion. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is 157.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.69
Baylor Cover -10.5 vs UCF -107
Baylor vs. UCF betting lines
- Baylor moneyline odds to win: -571
- UCF moneyline odds to win: +421
- Spread: Baylor (-10.5)
- Total: 157.5
Baylor statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- At home, Baylor owns a better record against the spread (6-4-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (1-5-1).
- The Bears have eclipsed the total more consistently at home, hitting the over in seven of 10 home matchups (70%). In road games, they have hit the over in three of seven games (42.9%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Baylor has won a lower percentage of its games when playing at home (.900) compared to away games (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Bears have been racking up 71.1 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s significantly lower than the 79.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Baylor has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 70.2 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 69.3 it has surrendered this year.
- The Bears are trending down from deep during their last 10 outings, making 7.9 threes per game and shooting 34.6% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9 makes and 36.5% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
Baylor betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-12-1 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 1-5-1)
- ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 8-5-1; As Underdog: 0-7-0)
- O-U-P: 12-9-0 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-1 (Home: 9-1; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.6 (136th in nation) | 43.7 (191st) | 34.5 (66th) | 30 (110th) | 15.4 (73rd) | 10.6 (106th) |
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UCF statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, UCF has a lower winning percentage at home (.429, 6-8-0 record) than away (.800, 4-1-0).
- Knights games have finished above the over/under 35.7% of the time at home (five of 14), and 100% of the time on the road (five of five).
- The Knights, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-2) than away (2-3) this season.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Knights are tallying 77.9 points per game, compared to their season average of 79.8.
- In its previous 10 games, UCF is giving up 85 points per contest, 5.6 more points than its season average (79.4).
- The Knights are making 9.5 threes per game over their previous 10 games, which is 0.6 more than their average for the season (8.9). That said, they sport a worse shooting percentage from downtown over their past 10 contests (33.8%) compared to their season average (34.4%).
UCF betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-11-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 4-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-7-0; As Underdog: 6-4-0)
- O-U-P: 13-8-1 (Home: 5-8-1; Away: 5-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-2 (Home: 9-2; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 1-2; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.1 (314th in nation) | 45.3 (279th) | 32.7 (154th) | 33.9 (323rd) | 14.5 (120th) | 12 (246th) |
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