Big 12 foes match up when the Baylor Bears (3-2) and the Kansas State Wildcats (2-3) square off on Saturday, October 4, 2025 at McLane Stadium.

The Wildcats are underdogs, but by less than a touchdown (+4.5), against the Bears (with an over/under of 60.5 points).

Below you’ll find our betting preview for this this contest between the Bears and the Wildcats, and uncover all of our betting picks here, too!

Baylor vs. Kansas State betting lines

• Spread favorite: Bears (-4.5)
• Moneyline: Bears (-188), Wildcats (+156)
• Total: 60.5 points

Baylor vs. Kansas State betting info and stats

Baylor has a single win against the spread this season (1-4-0). Baylor has yet to cover the spread when playing as the favorite by at least 4.5 points (a 0-2 ATS record). Baylor has recorded a 2-1 record in the three games this season it has been moneyline favorites. Kansas State has one win against the spread this season (1-4-0). This is the first time on the year Kansas State is the moneyline underdog.

Baylor vs. Kansas State recent stats and trends

Baylor Bears

• Baylor is winless against the spread in its last three games, and has a 2-1 straight-up record in those contest.
• One time in those three games, the final combined score went over the set total.
• The past three Baylor games averaged 0.3 more points (60.8) than this matchup’s point total.

Kansas State Wildcats

• Kansas State is 1-2 against the spread over its past three games, and has a 2-1 straight-up record in those contests.
• One time in those three games, the final combined score exceeded the set total.
• Kansas State’s past three outings have ended with an average of 50.8 points scored. That’s 9.7 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.

Baylor vs. Kansas State key players

Baylor Bears

• Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 1,713 yards (342.6 ypg) to lead Baylor, completing 63.6% of his passes and tossing 17 touchdown passes compared to three interceptions this season.
• Bryson Washington has racked up 492 yards on 93 carries while finding paydirt five times.
• Caden Knighten has carried the ball 32 times for 175 yards (35.0 per game) and one touchdown while also racking up 92 yards through the air, scoring one time.
• Josh Cameron has hauled in 27 receptions for 407 yards (81.4 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He’s found the end zone three times as a receiver.
• Michael Trigg has put up a 284-yard season so far with four touchdowns, hauling in 21 passes on 37 targets.
• Kole Wilson has a total of 274 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in 21 throws and scoring two touchdowns.
• Jackie Marshall paces the team with 2.0 sacks, and also has 3.0 TFL and 10 tackles.
• Keaton Thomas is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s picked up 35 tackles.
• LeVar Thornton Jr. has picked off a team-leading one pass. He also has four tackles and one pass defended to his name.

Kansas State Wildcats

• Avery Johnson has racked up 1,019 yards (203.8 yards per game) while completing 62.5% of his passes and recording eight touchdown passes with one interception this season. He’s also rushed for 137 yards with two touchdowns.
• Dylan Edwards is his team’s leading rusher with 24 carries for 179 yards, or 89.5 per game. He’s found the end zone one time on the ground, as well.
• Joe Jackson has run for 142 yards across 35 carries, scoring one touchdown.
• Jayce Brown has racked up 284 receiving yards on 25 receptions to pace his team so far this season while scoring two touchdowns as a receiver.
• Jaron Tibbs has 21 receptions (on 32 targets) for a total of 229 yards (45.8 yards per game) and two touchdowns this year.
• Jerand Bradley has racked up 152 reciving yards (50.7 ypg) and one touchdown this season.
• Tobi Osunsanmi has 4.0 sacks to lead the team, and also has 5.0 TFL and 14 tackles.
• Austin Romaine, Kansas State’s top tackler, has 30 tackles and 2.0 TFL this year.
• Mar’Quavious Moss has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 11 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended.