Belmont vs. Missouri State betting: College basketball preview for February 26

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Missouri State Bears (9-20, 2-16 MVC) will try to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Belmont Bruins (19-10, 11-7 MVC) on Wednesday, February 26, 2025 at Great Southern Bank Arena as just 1.5-point underdogs. The matchup airs at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The over/under in the matchup is 149.5.

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Spread

Belmont Cover -1.5 vs Missouri State -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Belmont vs. Missouri State betting lines

  • Belmont moneyline odds to win: -121
  • Missouri State moneyline odds to win: +101
  • Spread: Belmont (-1.5)
  • Total: 149.5

Belmont statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Belmont has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered four times in 14 games at home, and it has covered seven times in 12 games when playing on the road.
  • The Bruins have hit the over on the total in 11 of 14 home games (78.6%), compared to seven of 12 road games (58.3%).
  • Belmont, as a moneyline favorite, has the same winning percentage when playing at home (9-3 record) and away from home (3-1 record).

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Bruins have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 80.1 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 81.0 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
  • The past 10 games have seen Belmont allow 1.0 more point per game (79.8) than its season-long average (78.8).
  • The Bruins’ last 10 outings have seen them make 11.9 three-pointers per game while shooting 42.0% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up compared to their 2024-25 averages of 10.9 makes and 39.0%.

Belmont betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-15-1 (Home: 4-9-1; Away: 7-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 6-10-1 (As Favorite: 6-10-1; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 19-9-0 (Home: 11-3-0; Away: 7-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-5 (Home: 9-3; Away: 3-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-5 (Home: 0-2; Away: 5-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.9 (66th in nation) 47.0 (331st) 31.7 (198th) 33.5 (304th) 17.4 (ninth) 10.6 (111th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Belmont vs. Missouri State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Missouri State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Missouri State has been better against the spread on the road (7-5-0) than at home (7-6-0) this season.
  • Bears games have gone above the over/under 53.8% of the time at home (seven of 13), and 41.7% of the time on the road (five of 12).
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Bears have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-3) than on the road (0-10).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Bears are scoring 66.4 points per contest, compared to their season average of 68.8.
  • In its past 10 games, Missouri State is surrendering 68.0 points per contest, 2.9 fewer points than its season average (70.9).
  • The Bears are sinking 0.4 fewer threes per contest in their previous 10 games (6.7) compared to their season average (7.1), and they are putting up an identical three-point percentage over their last 10 contests compared to their season mark (35.4%).

Missouri State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-12-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 7-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 13-6-0 (As Favorite: 3-6-0; As Underdog: 13-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-15-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 5-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-5 (Home: 2-4; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-15 (Home: 3-3; Away: 0-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.2 (154th in nation) 46.6 (322nd) 29.7 (306th) 27.2 (16th) 12.3 (275th) 13.0 (323rd)
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