Belmont vs. Murray State betting: College basketball preview for March 2

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Belmont Bruins (20-10, 12-7 MVC) are at home in MVC play against the Murray State Racers (15-15, 9-10 MVC) on Sunday, March 2, 2025 at 3 p.m. ET. The Bruins are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 150.5 points.

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Belmont Cover -3.5 vs Murray State -105

Bet $20, Payout $39.05

Belmont vs. Murray State betting lines

  • Belmont moneyline odds to win: -155
  • Murray State moneyline odds to win: +131
  • Spread: Belmont (-3.5)
  • Total: 150.5

Belmont statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Belmont sports a worse record against the spread at home (4-9-1) than it does in road games (8-5-0).
  • In home games, the Bruins exceed the over/under 78.6% of the time (11 of 14 games). They’ve hit the over in 53.8% of games on the road (seven of 13 contests).
  • Belmont has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 9-3 (.750). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 4-1 (.800).

Recent trends

  • On offense, the Bruins have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 79.8 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 80.7 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
  • Belmont has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 77.4 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 78.3 it has surrendered per game this season.
  • Over their last 10 contests, the Bruins are making 1.1 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (12 compared to 10.9 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (43.6% compared to 39.1% season-long).

Belmont betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-15-1 (Home: 4-9-1; Away: 8-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 3-7-1 (As Favorite: 7-10-1; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 19-10-0 (Home: 11-3-0; Away: 7-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-5 (Home: 9-3; Away: 4-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-5 (Home: 0-2; Away: 5-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.9 (71st in nation) 46.9 (333rd) 31.5 (205th) 33.3 (300th) 17.3 (10th) 10.6 (116th)

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Murray State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Murray State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .364 (4-7-0). Away, it is .583 (7-5-0).
  • Racers games have gone above the over/under 36.4% of the time at home (four of 11), and 75% of the time away (nine of 12).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Racers have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than on the road (3-4).

Recent trends

  • The Racers have performed worse offensively in their past 10 games, averaging 68.6 points per contest, 3.9 fewer points their than season average of 72.5.
  • Murray State is ceding 70.8 points per contest over its last 10 games, which is 1.2 more points than it is allowing for the season (69.6).
  • The Racers are making 7.4 threes per game in their last 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.5). Additionally, they sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (31.6%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (34.5%).

Murray State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 7-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 8-10-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-12-1 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 9-2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-7 (Home: 6-3; Away: 2-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.9 (232nd in nation) 45.6 (276th) 30.1 (293rd) 29.2 (74th) 11.5 (317th) 10.6 (116th)
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