The Valparaiso Beacons (10-10, 4-5 MVC) are 5.5-point underdogs as they look to continue a four-game home win streak when they take on the Belmont Bruins (18-3, 8-2 MVC) on Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at Athletics-Recreation Center. The game airs at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under for the matchup is set at 145.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.52
Belmont Cover -5.5 vs Valparaiso -108
Belmont vs. Valparaiso betting lines
- Belmont moneyline odds to win: -231
- Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: +189
- Spread: Belmont (-5.5)
- Total: 145.5
Belmont statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Belmont has fared worse at home, covering three times in nine home games, and six times in nine road games.
- The Bruins have eclipsed the total in five of nine home games (55.6%). They’ve fared the same in away games, eclipsing the total in five of nine matchups (55.6%).
- Belmont has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 7-2 (.778). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 6-1 (.857).
Recent trends
- The Bruins’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, racking up 78.9 points a contest compared to the 82.5 they’ve averaged this season.
- Belmont’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (71.5) is 1.7 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (69.8).
- While the Bruins are hitting fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (9.0 per game) in comparison to their season-long average (9.9), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (39.5% from deep over the last 10, 39.0% on the season).
Belmont betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-9-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 4-8-0 (As Favorite: 9-9-0; As Underdog: 2-0-0)
- O-U-P: 10-10-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-3 (Home: 7-2; Away: 6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.1 (10th in nation) | 38.3 (seventh) | 34.2 (96th) | 30.0 (113th) | 17.8 (20th) | 12.9 (314th) |
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Valparaiso statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Valparaiso has a lower winning percentage at home (.727, 8-3-0 record) than on the road (.750, 6-2-0).
- Beacons games have finished above the over/under 27.3% of the time at home (three of 11), and 75% of the time on the road (six of eight).
- The Beacons’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .500 (2-2), and on the road it is .125 (1-7).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Beacons are putting up 68.6 points per game, 2.3 fewer points than their season average (70.9).
- While Valparaiso is allowing 69.7 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its previous 10 games, allowing 71.1 points per contest.
- The Beacons are draining 6.5 treys per game in their last 10 games, which is 0.5 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.0). That said, they sport a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (34.9%) compared to their season average from downtown (32.3%).
Valparaiso betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-5-0 (Home: 8-3-0; Away: 6-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 6-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-2-0; As Underdog: 9-3-0)
- O-U-P: 9-10-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 6-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-1 (Home: 6-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-9 (Home: 2-2; Away: 1-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.0 (337th in nation) | 42.8 (126th) | 32.8 (168th) | 32.1 (242nd) | 11.6 (331st) | 10.2 (81st) |
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