Week 15 of the NFL season features Bijan Robinson and the Atlanta Falcons hitting the field against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday. Let’s take a look at Robinson’s prop bets available for this contest, and break down his stats and trends to figure out the best value picks.
Rushing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Bijan Robinson to go over 73.5 yards
Bijan Robinson Prop Lines
- Matchup: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Date: December 11, 2025
- Rushing yards prop: Over 73.5 (-112)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 40.5 (-109)
Bijan Robinson Stats and Trends
- Robinson has a team-leading 1,081 total rushing yards on 215 carries (83.2 ypg). He’s added five rushing TDs.
- Robinson runs for 83.2 yards per game, which is better than Thursday’s prop total of 73.5.
- Seven times this year (in 13 games, 53.8%), Robinson has run for more than 73.5 yards.
- He has bettered his average rushing yards over/under on the season (75.4) by 7.8 yards.
- Robinson has topped his rushing yards over/under in six of 13 opportunities (46.2%) this season.
- He has scored multiple rushing touchdowns once this season, and has scored in four games.
- Robinson also averages 46.3 receiving yards per contest, catching 56 balls for 602 yards. Robinson’s scored two TDs in the passing game.
Recent Performances vs. the Buccaneers
| Week | Opponent | Rush Yards Allowed | Rush TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcons | 69 | 1 |
| 2 | Texans | 84 | 1 |
| 3 | Jets | 99 | 0 |
| 4 | Eagles | 88 | 1 |
| 5 | Seahawks | 122 | 1 |
| 6 | 49ers | 67 | 1 |
| 7 | Lions | 164 | 2 |
| 8 | Saints | 48 | 0 |
| 10 | Patriots | 166 | 2 |
| 11 | Bills | 97 | 3 |
| 12 | Rams | 70 | 0 |
| 13 | Cardinals | 95 | 0 |
| 14 | Saints | 139 | 3 |
Falcons Away Splits
- On the road, the Falcons score fewer points (18.3 per game) than they do overall (19.4). But they also allow fewer in road games (21.1) than overall (24.1).
- The Falcons accumulate 317 yards per game away from home (13 fewer than overall), and concede 308.3 in road games (14.2 fewer than overall).
- The Falcons accumulate fewer passing yards in away games (187 per game) than they do overall (206.4), but they also give up fewer away from home (167.7 per game) than overall (191.5).
- On the road the Falcons accumulate more rushing yards (130 per game) than overall (123.6). But they also allow more rushing yards (140.6) than overall (131).
- The Falcons successfully convert fewer third downs in road games (29.6%) than they do overall (31%) and allow opponents to convert on more third downs on the road (40.9%) than overall (39.5%).
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