The Air Force Falcons (3-16, 0-8 MWC) are heavy underdogs (+23.5) as they try to break a seven-game road slide when they visit the Boise State Broncos (11-8, 3-5 MWC) on Saturday, January 24, 2026 at ExtraMile Arena. The contest airs at 4 p.m. ET on MW Network. The matchup’s over/under is set at 134.5.
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Boise State Cover -23.5 vs Air Force -109
Boise State vs. Air Force betting lines
- Boise State moneyline odds to win: -14286
- Air Force moneyline odds to win: +2750
- Spread: Boise State (-23.5)
- Total: 134.5
Boise State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Boise State has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered five times in nine games when playing at home, and it has covered three times in five games on the road.
- Looking at over/unders, the Broncos hit the over less often in home games, as they’ve gone over the total three times in nine opportunities this season (33.3%). On the road, they have hit the over four times in five opportunities (80%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Boise State has picked up the win in seven of eight games when playing at home, good for a .875 winning percentage. It has won zero of two games away from home (.000) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Broncos have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 76.0 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 77.1 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
- Boise State has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 77.0 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 73.8 points per game its opponents average on the 2025-26 season.
- While the Broncos are hitting the same number of threes per game over their past 10 contests in comparison to their season-long average (8.1), they are doing so while shooting a lower percentage (32.5% from deep over the last 10, 33.0% on the season).
Boise State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-8-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 23.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
- O-U-P: 8-10-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 4-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-3 (Home: 7-1; Away: 0-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.7 (271st in nation) | 45.4 (268th) | 33.1 (155th) | 28.0 (38th) | 13.1 (255th) | 11.4 (186th) |
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Air Force statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Air Force has a better winning percentage at home (.417, 5-7-0 record) than on the road (.333, 2-4-0).
- Falcons games have finished above the over/under 58.3% of the time at home (seven of 12), and 33.3% of the time away (two of six).
- This season the Falcons are 1-9 at home when moneyline underdogs (.100 winning percentage). Away they are 0-6 (.000).
Recent trends
- The Falcons have played worse offensively over their past 10 games, compiling 56.5 points per contest, 5.2 fewer points their than season average of 61.7.
- Air Force is ceding 77.9 points per game over its last 10 games, which is 1.7 more points than it is allowing for the season (76.2).
- Over their previous 10 games, the Falcons are making 6.0 three-pointers per game, 0.2 fewer threes than their season average (6.2). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (27.1%) compared to their season average (29.6%).
Air Force betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-12-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 23.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 6-11-0)
- O-U-P: 9-10-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-16 (Home: 1-9; Away: 0-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.9 (302nd in nation) | 47.2 (324th) | 27.1 (357th) | 32.3 (253rd) | 11.8 (324th) | 13.3 (328th) |
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