The Fresno State Bulldogs (12-16, 6-11 MWC) are 7.5-point underdogs as they look to turn around a three-game losing streak when they host the Boise State Broncos (17-11, 9-8 MWC) on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Save Mart Center. The contest airs at 8 p.m. ET on MW Network. The point total for the matchup is 148.5.
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Boise State Cover -7.5 vs Fresno State -109
Boise State vs. Fresno State betting lines
- Boise State moneyline odds to win: -339
- Fresno State moneyline odds to win: +264
- Spread: Boise State (-7.5)
- Total: 148.5
Boise State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Boise State has a worse record against the spread in home games (7-7-0) than it does in road games (5-4-0).
- The Broncos have eclipsed the over/under in seven of 14 home games (50%). They’ve fared better in road games, eclipsing the total in seven of nine matchups (77.8%).
- When playing at home, Boise State has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 11-2 (.846). On the road, it is 1-2 (.333) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Broncos have seen an increase in scoring recently, putting up 81.2 points per game in their last 10 contests, 2.8 points more than the 78.4 they’ve scored this year.
- The past 10 games have seen Boise State concede 0.7 fewer points per game (73.2) than its season-long average (73.9).
- The Broncos are trending up from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 8.9 threes per game and shooting 37.7% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 8.3 makes and 34.5% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Boise State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-13-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 6-6-0 (As Favorite: 8-9-0; As Underdog: 6-4-0)
- O-U-P: 15-12-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 7-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-4 (Home: 11-2; Away: 1-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-6 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 (170th in nation) | 46.1 (285th) | 32.5 (148th) | 26.5 (eighth) | 13.7 (195th) | 10.7 (153rd) |
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Fresno State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Fresno State has a better winning percentage at home (.733, 11-4-0 record) than away (.700, 7-3-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Bulldogs games have finished over eight of 15 times at home (53.3%), and five of 10 on the road (50%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Bulldogs have won a higher percentage of games at home (5-4) than away (0-7).
Recent trends
- The Bulldogs are putting up 76.8 points per game over their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 74.0.
- While Fresno State is allowing 72.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its last 10 games, allowing 77.8 points per contest.
- The Bulldogs are draining 8.1 treys per contest with a 34.3% three-point percentage over their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.6 and 32.4%.
Fresno State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 19-8-0 (Home: 11-4-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 7-3-0 (As Favorite: 6-4-0; As Underdog: 13-4-0)
- O-U-P: 13-14-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-4 (Home: 3-3; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-12 (Home: 5-4; Away: 0-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.0 (195th in nation) | 44.4 (187th) | 31.1 (239th) | 31.9 (233rd) | 13.2 (234th) | 12.3 (299th) |
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