MWC foes meet when the Boise State Broncos (6-2) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-3) square off on Saturday, November 1, 2025 at Albertsons Stadium.

The Broncos are expected to come out on top by at least two touchdowns (currently -17.5) against the Bulldogs. The over/under for this matchup is 49.5 points.

Keep reading to check out our betting primer for this this contest between the Broncos and the Bulldogs, and uncover all of our expert predictions here, too!

Boise State vs. Fresno State betting lines

• Spread favorite: Broncos (-17.5)
• Moneyline: Broncos (-943), Bulldogs (+625)
• Total: 49.5 points
• TV Channel: FOX Sports 2
• Live Stream: Fubo

Boise State vs. Fresno State betting info and stats

Boise State has won six games against the spread this season (6-1-1). Boise State has covered the spread one time this season when favored by at least 17.5 points. Boise State has recorded a 6-1 record in the seven games this season it has been the moneyline favorite. Fresno State is 3-5-0 against the spread through eight opportunities so far this season. Fresno State’s record is 2-2 in games it’ve played as the underdog this year.

Boise State vs. Fresno State recent stats and trends

Boise State Broncos

• Boise State has covered the spread twice in its past three matchups while putting up a 3-0 record straight-up in those games.
• The final combined score of the last three Boise State games has surpassed the set total two times.
• Boise State’s last three outings have ended with an average of 56.8 points scored. That’s 7.3 more points than this contest’s over/under.

Fresno State Bulldogs

• Fresno State is winless against the spread in its past three games, and has a 3-0 straight-up record in those contest.
• Fresno State and its opponents have hit the over once in those games.
• The past three Fresno State games averaged 3.0 fewer points (46.5) than this matchup’s over/under.

Boise State vs. Fresno State key players

Boise State Broncos

• Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,998 yards (249.8 ypg) to lead Boise State, completing 60.4% of his passes and recording 15 touchdown passes compared to seven interceptions this season.
• Dylan Riley has racked up 729 yards on 98 carries while finding the end zone seven times. He’s also caught nine passes for 130 yards (18.6 per game) and one touchdown through the air.
• Sire Gaines has carried the ball 92 times for 434 yards (54.3 per game) and five touchdowns.
• Chris Marshall’s leads his squad with 467 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 24 catches (out of 46 targets) and scored two touchdowns.
• LaTrell Caples has hauled in 25 passes while averaging 41.9 yards per game and scoring three touchdowns.
• Ben Ford has racked up 21 grabs for 325 yards, an average of 46.4 yards per game. He’s scored five times as a receiver this season.
• Braxton Fely has 5.0 sacks to pace the team, and also has 3.0 TFL and 17 tackles.
• Boise State’s tackle leader, Ty Benefield, has 54 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and two interceptions this year.
• A’Marion McCoy leads the team with four interceptions, while also putting up 17 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and four passes defended.

Fresno State Bulldogs

• E.J. Warner leads Fresno State with 1,486 yards on 139-of-202 passing with 10 touchdowns compared to nine interceptions this season. He has chipped in with 91 rushing yards (13.0 ypg) on 30 carries while scoring one touchdown on the ground.
• The team’s top rusher, Bryson Donelson, has carried the ball 94 times for 411 yards (51.4 per game) with three touchdowns. He’s also caught 14 passes for 114 yards.
• Rayshon Luke has collected 402 yards (on 63 attempts) with five touchdowns, while also catching 24 passes for 163 yards and two touchdowns.
• Josiah Freeman has hauled in 326 receiving yards on 27 receptions to pace his team so far this season while scoring four touchdowns as a receiver.
• Richie Anderson has totaled 224 receiving yards (28.0 yards per game) and two touchdowns on 22 receptions.
• Ezekiel Avit has racked up 197 reciving yards (28.1 ypg) this season.
• Finn Claypool has 3.5 sacks to pace the team, and also has 3.0 TFL and 27 tackles.
• Fresno State’s leading tackler, Jadon Pearson, has 63 tackles and 2.0 TFL this year.
• Camryn Bracha has picked off a team-leading two passes. He also has 26 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two passes defended to his name.