The Boise State Broncos (8-4) and UNLV Rebels (10-2) will play in the MWC Championship Game on Friday, December 5, 2025.

The Broncos are favored, but by less than a touchdown (-5.5), against the Rebels. The over/under for this matchup is 59.5 points.

Below you can find our betting primer for this this contest between the Broncos and the Rebels, and find all of our expert picks here, too!

Boise State vs. UNLV betting lines

• Spread favorite: Broncos (-5.5)
• Moneyline: Broncos (-231), Rebels (+190)
• Total: 59.5 points
• TV Channel: FOX 4K
• Live Stream: Fubo

Boise State vs. UNLV betting info and stats

Boise State, through 12 games with a spread so far this season, is 7-4-1 against the spread. Boise State has covered the spread six times when playing as the favorite by at least 5.5 points (a 6-2-1 ATS record). In 10 games as a moneyline favorite, Boise State is 8-2. UNLV is 7-5-0 against the spread so far this season. UNLV has not covered the spread in games it was the underdog by at least 5.5 points (0-1). This will be the third time this year UNLV is an underdog on the moneyline, after split the two games.

Boise State vs. UNLV recent stats and trends

Boise State Broncos

• Boise State is 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 overall in its past three matchups.
• In one of those three games, the final combined score surpassed the set total.
• Boise State’s last three games have ended with an average of 47.2 points scored. That’s 12.3 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.

UNLV Rebels

• UNLV has covered the spread twice in its past three contests while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
• UNLV and its opponents have combined to hit the over one time in those games.
• UNLV’s past three outings have ended with an average of 62.2 points scored. That’s 2.7 more points than this contest’s over/under.

Boise State vs. UNLV key players

Boise State Broncos

• Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,994 yards (221.6 ypg) to lead Boise State, completing 59.8% of his passes and recording 15 touchdown passes compared to seven interceptions this season.
• Dylan Riley has carried the ball 164 times for a team-high 1,016 yards on the ground and has found the end zone 10 times.
• Sire Gaines has collected 731 yards on 144 carries, scoring seven times.
• LaTrell Caples’ leads his squad with 515 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 43 receptions (out of 76 targets) and scored three touchdowns.
• Chris Marshall has caught 24 passes for 467 yards (51.9 yards per game) and two touchdowns this year.
• Ben Ford has a total of 325 receiving yards so far this year, grabbing 21 passes and scoring five touchdowns.
• Braxton Fely leads the team with 5.5 sacks, and also has 3.0 TFL and 20 tackles.
• Boise State’s top-tackler, Ty Benefield, has 86 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and two interceptions this year.
• A’Marion McCoy leads the team with four interceptions, while also collecting 26 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and four passes defended.

UNLV Rebels

• Anthony Colandrea has thrown for 3,050 yards (254.2 ypg) to lead UNLV, completing 68.2% of his passes and recording 22 touchdown passes and eight interceptions this season. He is also a playmaker on the ground, racking up 555 yards (46.3 ypg) on 106 carries with eight touchdowns.
• Jai’Den Thomas has run for 944 yards on 127 carries so far this year while scoring 12 times on the ground. He’s also tacked on 34 catches, totaling 207 yards and one touchdown in the passing game.
• Jaden Bradley paces his squad with 834 receiving yards on 51 catches with four touchdowns.
• Troy Omeire has put together a 472-yard season so far with four touchdowns. He’s caught 27 passes on 32 targets.
• Daejon Reynolds has racked up 431 reciving yards (39.2 ypg) and five touchdowns this season.
• Tunmise Adeleye leads the team with 6.0 sacks, and also has 6.0 TFL and 35 tackles.
• UNLV’s leading tackler, Marsel McDuffie, has 80 tackles, 4.0 TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions this year.
• Aamaris Brown has picked off a team-high four passes. He also has 41 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and four passes defended to his name.