The Bowling Green Falcons (13-9, 4-6 MAC) will attempt to stop a three-game win streak when they host the Ball State Cardinals (7-14, 3-6 MAC) on Tuesday, February 3, 2026 at Stroh Center as big, 10.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 137.5.
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Bowling Green Cover -10.5 vs Ball State -129
Bowling Green vs. Ball State betting lines
- Bowling Green moneyline odds to win: -699
- Ball State moneyline odds to win: +500
- Spread: Bowling Green (-10.5)
- Total: 137.5
Bowling Green statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Bowling Green has fared worse at home, covering two times in nine home games, and four times in eight road games.
- The Falcons have gone over the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (44.4%) than road tilts (37.5%).
- Bowling Green has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 4-3 (.571). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 3-2 (.600).
Recent trends
- The Falcons have been scoring 83.5 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 84.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Bowling Green has been suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 78.9 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 70.9 it has conceded this season.
- Over their last 10 outings, the Falcons are making 0.3 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (6.8 compared to 7.1 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (34.7% compared to 34.5% season-long).
Bowling Green betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-12-0 (Home: 2-7-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
- O-U-P: 7-12-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 3-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 4-3; Away: 3-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (32nd in nation) | 43.5 (157th) | 32.4 (182nd) | 29.9 (113th) | 15.2 (115th) | 11.1 (169th) |
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Ball State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Ball State has been better against the spread at home (3-4-0) than on the road (3-7-0) this year.
- In terms of the over/under, Cardinals games have finished over one of seven times at home (14.3%), and three of 10 away (30%).
- In 2025-26 when moneyline underdogs, the Cardinals have a better winning percentage at home (.333, 1-2 record) than on the road (.000, 0-8).
Recent trends
- While the Cardinals are scoring 67.3 points per game in 2025-26, they have bettered that mark over their last 10 games, amassing 69.9 a contest.
- Ball State is allowing 70.5 points per game in its past 10 games, which is 0.6 more points than it is allowing for the season (69.9).
- The Cardinals are sinking 7.0 threes per game with a 33.2% three-point percentage in their last 10 games, compared to their season averages of 6.9 and 30.8%.
Ball State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-12-0 (Home: 3-4-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 1-5-0; As Underdog: 6-7-0)
- O-U-P: 6-13-0 (Home: 1-6-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-3 (Home: 2-2; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-11 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.8 (332nd in nation) | 45.4 (262nd) | 27.4 (350th) | 31.8 (222nd) | 12.4 (297th) | 9.7 (42nd) |
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