The Buffalo Bulls (13-7, 3-5 MAC) are 8.5-point underdogs as they attempt to turn around a five-game losing streak when they visit the Bowling Green Falcons (13-7, 4-4 MAC) on Tuesday, January 27, 2026 at Stroh Center. The game airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 150.5.
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Bowling Green Cover -8.5 vs Buffalo -107
Bowling Green vs. Buffalo betting lines
- Bowling Green moneyline odds to win: -375
- Buffalo moneyline odds to win: +295
- Spread: Bowling Green (-8.5)
- Total: 150.5
Bowling Green statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Bowling Green has a worse record against the spread at home (2-6-0) than it does in away games (4-3-0).
- The Falcons have eclipsed the over/under less consistently at home, hitting the over in three of eight home matchups (37.5%). On the road, they have hit the over in three of seven games (42.9%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Bowling Green has won a lower percentage of its games at home (.667) compared to road games (.750).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Falcons have been scoring 84.2 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 86.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Bowling Green has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 75.1 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 70.5 it has conceded this season.
- While the Falcons are making fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (6.9 per game) in comparison to their season-long average (7.3), they are doing so while shooting the same percentage from deep (34.8%).
Bowling Green betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-10-0 (Home: 2-6-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-7-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
- O-U-P: 6-11-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-3 (Home: 4-2; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.5 (24th in nation) | 42.9 (136th) | 32.5 (188th) | 29.6 (104th) | 15.7 (91st) | 11.3 (176th) |
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Buffalo statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Buffalo has performed better against the spread on the road (6-2-0) than at home (5-3-0) this year.
- In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Bulls’ games have finished above the over/under at home (75%, six of eight) than on the road (50%, four of eight).
- The Bulls, as moneyline underdogs, have won the same percentage of games at home (1-3) as away (1-3) this year.
Recent trends
- While the Bulls are putting up 79.6 points per game in 2025-26, they have improved that mark in their previous 10 games, tallying 80.9 a contest.
- Buffalo has performed worse defensively over its past 10 games, giving up 77.9 points per contest, 3.3 more points than its season average of 74.6.
- Over their previous 10 games, the Bulls are draining 10.2 three-pointers per contest, 0.7 more than their season average (9.5). Additionally, they sport an identical three-point percentage over their previous 10 games as their season average from three-point land (38.5%).
Buffalo betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-6-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 6-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 8-1-0; As Underdog: 4-5-0)
- O-U-P: 10-8-0 (Home: 6-2-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-0 (Home: 3-0; Away: 4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-6 (Home: 1-3; Away: 1-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 (56th in nation) | 45.9 (286th) | 29.3 (315th) | 29.4 (92nd) | 14.4 (164th) | 10.3 (88th) |

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