Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan betting: College basketball preview for March 7

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Bowling Green Falcons (14-16, 8-9 MAC) will look to build on a four-game win streak when they host the Western Michigan Broncos (11-19, 8-9 MAC) on Friday, March 7, 2025 at Stroh Center as 3.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 144.5.

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Bowling Green Cover -3.5 vs Western Michigan -106

Bet $20, Payout $38.87

Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan betting lines

  • Bowling Green moneyline odds to win: -161
  • Western Michigan moneyline odds to win: +136
  • Spread: Bowling Green (-3.5)
  • Total: 144.5

Bowling Green statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Bowling Green owns a worse record against the spread in home games (6-7-0) than it does in away games (7-6-0).
  • The Falcons have hit the over on the total in six of 13 home games (46.2%). They’ve fared better in away games, eclipsing the total in seven of 13 matchups (53.8%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Bowling Green has won a higher percentage of its games at home (.857) compared to away games (.667).

Recent trends

  • The Falcons have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 71.6 points per game in their last 10 contests, 2.5 points fewer than the 74.1 they’ve scored this season.
  • Bowling Green’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (69.4) is 4.1 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (73.5).
  • The Falcons’ 7.9 made three-pointers per-game average during their last 10 games are less than the 8.1 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 35.7% compared to their season-long percentage of 34.6% from long distance.

Bowling Green betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-14-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 7-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 5-3-0 (As Favorite: 7-3-0; As Underdog: 7-11-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-15-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 7-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-2 (Home: 6-1; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-14 (Home: 0-6; Away: 3-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.9 (233rd in nation) 44.5 (220th) 30.8 (252nd) 31.5 (206th) 11.4 (325th) 11.1 (171st)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Western Michigan statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Western Michigan’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .357 (5-9-0). Away, it is .600 (9-6-0).
  • Broncos games have gone above the over/under 35.7% of the time at home (five of 14), and 60% of the time away (nine of 15).
  • The Broncos, as moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-4) than on the road (3-10) this year.

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Broncos are averaging 74.3 points per game, 1.8 more than their season average (72.5).
  • Western Michigan has fared worse defensively in its last 10 games, surrendering 77.6 points per contest, 1.0 more point than its season average of 76.6.
  • In their previous 10 games, the Broncos are sinking 6.9 treys per contest, 1.1 more than their season average (5.8). They also sport a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (30.5%) compared to their season average (28.8%).

Western Michigan betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 9-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 11-5-0 (As Favorite: 3-7-0; As Underdog: 11-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-15-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 9-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-5 (Home: 3-5; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-14 (Home: 2-4; Away: 3-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.7 (293rd in nation) 46.7 (324th) 34.1 (64th) 31.8 (226th) 12.5 (263rd) 10.4 (103rd)
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