Brian Thomas Jr. and the Jacksonville Jaguars match up against the AFC’s Las Vegas Raiders in a Week 16 NFL matchup at 4:25 PM ET Sunday. Let’s dig into all of the prop bets available for Thomas in this matchup, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $36.67
Brian Thomas Jr. to go over 73.5 yards
Brian Thomas Jr. Prop Lines
- Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars at Las Vegas Raiders
- Time: 4:25 PM ET
- Date: December 22, 2024
- Receiving yards prop: Over 73.5 (-120)
Brian Thomas Jr. Stats and Trends
- Thomas has posted a team-leading 956 receiving yards (68.3 per game) and eight TDs, reeling in 64 balls out of 99 targets this year.
- Thomas’ 68.3 receiving yards per game are 5.2 less than his prop total for Sunday’s matchup.
- In eight of 14 games this season, Thomas has collected over 73.5 receiving yards.
- He picks up 68.3 receiving yards per game, 15.3 more than his average over/under (53).
- In 11 of 14 games this season, Thomas has gone over on his prop for receiving yards.
- He has had a touchdown catch in seven of 14 games this year, and scored more than once on one of those occasions.
Recent Performances vs. the Raiders
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chargers | 140 | 1 |
| 2 | Ravens | 232 | 1 |
| 3 | Panthers | 306 | 3 |
| 4 | Browns | 149 | 1 |
| 5 | Broncos | 180 | 2 |
| 6 | Steelers | 110 | 0 |
| 7 | Rams | 144 | 0 |
| 8 | Chiefs | 252 | 2 |
| 9 | Bengals | 243 | 5 |
| 11 | Dolphins | 271 | 3 |
| 12 | Broncos | 262 | 2 |
| 13 | Chiefs | 266 | 1 |
| 14 | Buccaneers | 268 | 3 |
| 15 | Falcons | 93 | 1 |
Jaguars Away Splits
- The Jaguars score fewer points on the road (14.6 per game) than they do overall (18.8), and allow more (30.3 per game) than overall (26.9).
- The Jaguars accumulate fewer yards in road games (253.3 per game) than they do overall (306), and concede more (422.9 per game) than overall (396.4).
- The Jaguars pick up fewer passing yards on the road (165 per game) than they do overall (204.4), and concede more (277.9 per game) than overall (264.3).
- Away from home, the Jaguars pick up fewer rushing yards (88.3 per game) than overall (101.6). They also give up more rushing yards (145 per game) than overall (132.1).
- The Jaguars convert fewer third downs in road games (31.3%) than they do overall (35.2%) and allow opponents to convert on more third downs in away games (52.1%) than overall (44.5%).
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