The Cal Baptist Lancers (20-8, 10-5 WAC) are 7.5-point favorites as they attempt to extend a 13-game home win streak when they host the Tarleton State Texans (14-15, 5-11 WAC) on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center. The contest airs at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 138.5.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
Cal Baptist Cover -7.5 vs Tarleton State -109
Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State betting lines
- Cal Baptist moneyline odds to win: -342
- Tarleton State moneyline odds to win: +265
- Spread: Cal Baptist (-7.5)
- Total: 138.5
Cal Baptist statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Cal Baptist has done a better job covering the spread in road games (9-4-0) than it has in home games (5-8-0).
- In terms of over/unders, the Lancers hit the over less consistently when playing at home, as they’ve exceeded the total three times in 13 opportunities this season (23.1%). In road games, they have hit the over six times in 13 opportunities (46.2%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Cal Baptist has won a higher percentage of its home games (1.000) compared to road games (.600).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Lancers have been racking up 69.5 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 71.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- The last 10 games have seen Cal Baptist allow 3.6 fewer points per game (64.5) than its season-long average (68.1).
- The Lancers are trending up from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 6.8 threes per game and shooting 35.6% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 6.2 makes and 32.5% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Cal Baptist betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-13-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 9-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 4-8-0 (As Favorite: 9-10-0; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
- O-U-P: 9-19-0 (Home: 3-10-0; Away: 6-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-2 (Home: 13-0; Away: 3-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-6 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.3 (319th in nation) | 41.6 (53rd) | 36.5 (23rd) | 29.9 (112th) | 10.4 (358th) | 11.5 (232nd) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Tarleton State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Tarleton State has a lower winning percentage at home (.455, 5-6-0 record) than away (.643, 9-5-0).
- Texans games have gone above the over/under more often at home (six times out of 11) than on the road (seven of 14) this season.
- The Texans’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .000 (0-2), and away it is .182 (2-9).
Recent trends
- While the Texans are posting 75.2 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, tallying 64.1 points per contest.
- While Tarleton State is allowing 73.0 points per game in 2025-26, it has bettered that mark in its past 10 games, allowing 70.2 points per contest.
- The Texans are sinking 3.7 treys per game over their past 10 games, which is 1.0 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (4.7). In addition, they have a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (27.8%) compared to their season average from three-point land (32.1%).
Tarleton State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-11-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 9-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 5-1-0 (As Favorite: 7-5-0; As Underdog: 7-6-0)
- O-U-P: 13-12-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 7-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-4 (Home: 6-3; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-11 (Home: 0-2; Away: 2-9)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.5 (165th in nation) | 44.9 (221st) | 29.2 (315th) | 31.8 (231st) | 11.2 (344th) | 13.7 (351st) |
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
