Cal Poly vs. CSU Fullerton betting: College basketball preview for March 6

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The CSU Fullerton Titans (6-24, 1-17 Big West) are heavy underdogs (+13.5) as they look to stop a five-game road slide when they take on the Cal Poly Mustangs (12-18, 6-12 Big West) on Thursday, March 6, 2025 at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center. The game airs at 10 p.m. ET on Spectrum Sports. The matchup has a point total of 164.5.

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Cal Poly Cover -13.5 vs CSU Fullerton -119

Bet $20, Payout $36.81

Cal Poly vs. CSU Fullerton betting lines

  • Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: -1163
  • CSU Fullerton moneyline odds to win: +724
  • Spread: Cal Poly (-13.5)
  • Total: 164.5

Cal Poly statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Cal Poly has done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (6-6-0) than it has in road tilts (7-9-0).
  • In terms of point totals, the Mustangs hit the over less often when playing at home, as they’ve gone over the total six times in 12 opportunities this season (50%). In away games, they have hit the over 12 times in 16 opportunities (75%).
  • Cal Poly has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 4-1 (.800). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 1-1 (.500).

Recent trends

  • The Mustangs have seen an increase in scoring lately, putting up 84.6 points per game in their last 10 contests, 3.6 points more than the 81.0 they’ve scored this season.
  • Cal Poly has been more stingy on defense lately, giving up 81.4 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 83.9 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2024-25 season.
  • Over their last 10 contests, the Mustangs are making 0.3 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.5 compared to 10.8 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (35.0% compared to 34.2% season-long).

Cal Poly betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-15-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 7-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-10-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 12-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-2 (Home: 4-1; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-15 (Home: 3-4; Away: 3-11)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.8 (119th in nation) 45.8 (289th) 31.4 (208th) 35.0 (349th) 14.6 (104th) 16.1 (363rd)

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CSU Fullerton statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, CSU Fullerton has a lower winning percentage at home (.167, 2-7-3 record) than away (.250, 4-12-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Titans games have gone over seven of 12 times at home (58.3%), and six of 16 away (37.5%).
  • The Titans, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-9) than on the road (2-14) this season.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Titans are averaging 61.1 points per contest, 2.4 fewer points than their season average (63.5).
  • CSU Fullerton is allowing 83.4 points per contest over its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 77.0 points allowed.
  • In their previous 10 games, the Titans are sinking 5.0 three-pointers per contest, 0.3 more than their season average (4.7). However, they sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (26.0%) compared to their season average (26.9%).

CSU Fullerton betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-19-3 (Home: 2-7-3; Away: 4-12-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 13.5+: 1-8-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 5-17-3)
  • O-U-P: 13-15-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 6-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-1 (Home: 2-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-23 (Home: 0-9; Away: 2-14)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
40.4 (354th in nation) 45.9 (293rd) 29.9 (301st) 32.1 (247th) 9.0 (363rd) 14.2 (353rd)
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