Week 15 NFL action pits Caleb Williams and his Chicago Bears teammates against the Cleveland Browns at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday Below we break down Williams’ stats and trends in relation to prop bets, helping you come up with good predictions for this contest.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Caleb Williams to go over 190.5 yards
Caleb Williams Prop Lines
- Matchup: Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 14, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 190.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 17.5 (-115)
Caleb Williams Stats and Trends
- Williams has thrown for 2,908 yards (223.7 per game), completing 57.8% of his passes, with 19 TDs and six INTs.
- Williams is passing for 223.7 yards per game, which is 33.2 higher than his over/under on Sunday.
- In 13 games this year, Williams has topped 190.5 passing yards on 10 occasions.
- He has thrown for over his season prop average of 219.7 yards (by 4.0 yards per game).
- This year, Williams has finished above his passing yards prop total in six of 13 opportunities.
- He has completed a touchdown pass in 10 of 13 games this season — including multiple TDs five times.
- Williams has figured on the ground too, with 321 yards (24.7 per game) on 65 carries and three TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Browns
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bengals | 95 | 1 |
| 2 | Ravens | 197 | 4 |
| 3 | Packers | 149 | 1 |
| 4 | Lions | 168 | 2 |
| 5 | Vikings | 252 | 2 |
| 6 | Steelers | 235 | 2 |
| 7 | Dolphins | 120 | 0 |
| 8 | Patriots | 245 | 3 |
| 10 | Jets | 42 | 1 |
| 11 | Ravens | 167 | 0 |
| 12 | Raiders | 208 | 1 |
| 13 | 49ers | 161 | 1 |
| 14 | Titans | 108 | 2 |
Bears Home Splits
- In home games, the Bears score 27.2 points per game and concede 20.6. That’s more than they score overall (25.7), but less than they give up (25.8).
- The Bears’ average yards gained (361.4) and allowed (335.8) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 369.7 and 357.3, respectively.
- The Bears’ average yards passing at home (221.8) is higher than their overall average (217.1). And their average yards allowed at home (207.8) is lower than overall (224.8).
- The Bears accumulate 139.6 rushing yards per game at home (13 less than their overall average), and concede 128 at home (4.5 less than overall).
- The Bears convert 38.7% of third downs at home (5.7% lower than their overall average), and concede 36.1% at home (2.6% lower than overall).
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