Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears face the NFC’s Green Bay Packers in a Week 16 NFL matchup at 8:20 p.m. ET Saturday. With prop bets set for Williams in this outing, let’s dig into the stats and trends that will help determine the top bets for this game.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Caleb Williams to go over 203.5 yards
Caleb Williams Prop Lines
- Matchup: Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Date: December 20, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 203.5 (-111)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 17.5 (-110)
Caleb Williams Stats and Trends
- Williams has passed for 3,150 yards (225.0 per game), completing 58% of his passes, with 21 TDs and six INTs.
- Williams is passing for 225.0 yards per game, which is more than his prop bet over/under for this contest of 203.5.
- In 10 of 14 matchups this season, Williams has exceeded 203.5 passing yards.
- His passing yards average of 225.0 yards is higher than his average prop total this season (217.5) by 7.5 yards.
- This year, Williams has finished above his passing yards prop total in seven of 14 opportunities.
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in 11 of 14 games (including multiple TDs six times).
- In addition Williams has 339 yards on the ground (24.2 per game), on 68 carries plus three touchdowns.
Recent Performances vs. the Packers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lions | 200 | 1 |
| 2 | Commanders | 179 | 2 |
| 3 | Browns | 125 | 0 |
| 4 | Cowboys | 319 | 3 |
| 6 | Bengals | 213 | 2 |
| 7 | Cardinals | 236 | 2 |
| 8 | Steelers | 202 | 2 |
| 9 | Panthers | 102 | 0 |
| 10 | Eagles | 183 | 1 |
| 11 | Giants | 194 | 0 |
| 12 | Vikings | 52 | 0 |
| 13 | Lions | 233 | 2 |
| 14 | Bears | 177 | 2 |
| 15 | Broncos | 302 | 4 |
Bears Home Splits
- The Bears’ average points scored in home games (27.8) is higher than their overall average (26.1). But their average points conceded at home (17.7) is lower than overall (24.1).
- At home, the Bears rack up 361.3 yards per game and give up 311.8. That’s less than they gain (369.4) and allow (345.5) overall.
- At home, the Bears rack up 221.3 passing yards per game and give up 196.8. That’s more than they gain overall (217.2), and less than they allow (218.9).
- The Bears’ average rushing yards gained (140) and allowed (115) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 152.2 and 126.6, respectively.
- The Bears’ third-down percentages on offense (38.7%) and defense (34.7%) in home games are both lower than their overall numbers of 44% and 37.8%, respectively.
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