Week 17 of the NFL season features Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears facing the San Francisco 49ers at 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday. Below we break down Williams’ stats and trends in relation to prop bets, helping you make good predictions for this matchup.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Caleb Williams to go over 221.5 yards
Caleb Williams Prop Lines
- Matchup: Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Date: December 28, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 221.5 (-113)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 16.5 (-111)
Caleb Williams Stats and Trends
- Williams has passed for 3,400 yards (226.7 per game), completing 57.8% of his throws, with 23 TDs and six INTs.
- Williams is throwing for 226.7 yards per game, which is 5.2 higher than his over/under on Sunday.
- In seven of 15 matchups this year, Williams has exceeded 221.5 passing yards.
- His 226.7 passing yards per game average is 10.4 greater than his average prop bet total of 216.3.
- This season, Williams has topped his passing yards prop total in eight games (53.3%).
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in 12 of 15 games (including multiple TDs seven times).
- In addition Williams has 369 yards rushing on 71 attempts with three TDs, averaging 24.6 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the 49ers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seahawks | 146 | 0 |
| 2 | Saints | 186 | 3 |
| 3 | Cardinals | 154 | 1 |
| 4 | Jaguars | 174 | 1 |
| 5 | Rams | 378 | 3 |
| 6 | Buccaneers | 248 | 2 |
| 7 | Falcons | 230 | 1 |
| 8 | Texans | 318 | 2 |
| 9 | Giants | 179 | 2 |
| 10 | Rams | 275 | 4 |
| 11 | Cardinals | 452 | 2 |
| 12 | Panthers | 161 | 1 |
| 13 | Browns | 115 | 1 |
| 15 | Titans | 170 | 2 |
| 16 | Colts | 254 | 2 |
Bears Away Splits
- The Bears average fewer points on the road (24.8 per game) than they do overall (25.8), and concede more (29 per game) than overall (23.6).
- The Bears pick up 375.5 yards per game in away games (four more than overall), and concede 370.8 in road games (22.7 more than overall).
- In road tilts, the Bears accumulate fewer passing yards (214.1 per game) than overall (219.4). They also concede more passing yards (235.4 per game) than overall (217.1).
- On the road the Bears accumulate more rushing yards (161.4 per game) than overall (152.1). But they also allow more rushing yards (135.4) than overall (131).
- The Bears convert more third downs on the road (47.5%) than they do overall (42.6%), but they also allow opponents to convert on more (40.7%) than overall (38.7%).
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