Cent. Conn. St. vs. Mercyhurst betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 26

Data Skrive

The Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (16-11, 10-6 NEC) are 4.5-point favorites as they attempt to build on a three-game home winning streak when they take on the Mercyhurst Lakers (14-15, 9-7 NEC) on Thursday, February 26, 2026 at William H. Detrick Gymnasium. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on NEC Front Row. The matchup has a point total of 139.5.

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Cent. Conn. St. Cover -4.5 vs Mercyhurst -107

Bet $20, Payout $38.69

Cent. Conn. St. vs. Mercyhurst betting lines

  • Cent. Conn. St. moneyline odds to win: -193
  • Mercyhurst moneyline odds to win: +155
  • Spread: Cent. Conn. St. (-4.5)
  • Total: 139.5

Cent. Conn. St. statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Cent. Conn. St. has a worse record against the spread when playing at home (3-6-0) than it does in road games (11-5-0).
  • The Blue Devils have exceeded the total more consistently at home, hitting the over in seven of nine home matchups (77.8%). On the road, they have hit the over in seven of 16 games (43.8%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Cent. Conn. St. has won a higher percentage of its home games (.750) compared to road games (.714).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Blue Devils have been racking up 68.1 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 74.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Cent. Conn. St. has been tougher on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 68.6 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 70.9 points per game its opponents average in the 2025-26 season.
  • Over their past 10 outings, the Blue Devils are making 0.9 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (6.7 compared to 7.6 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (33.8% compared to 36.9% season-long).

Cent. Conn. St. betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-11-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 11-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 5-3-0 (As Favorite: 7-7-0; As Underdog: 7-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-11-0 (Home: 7-2-0; Away: 7-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-4 (Home: 6-2; Away: 5-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.1 (68th in nation) 42.6 (86th) 31.7 (202nd) 30.3 (131st) 14.1 (159th) 10.1 (91st)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Cent. Conn. St. vs. Mercyhurst? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Mercyhurst statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This season, Mercyhurst is 7-4-0 at home against the spread (.636 winning percentage). On the road, it is 10-6-0 ATS (.625).
  • In terms of the over/under, Lakers games have finished over more often at home (seven of 11, 63.6%) than on the road (six of 16, 37.5%).
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Lakers have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-0) than away (2-10).

Recent trends

  • While the Lakers are scoring 69.2 points per game in 2025-26, they have bettered that mark over their previous 10 games, amassing 73.8 a contest.
  • While Mercyhurst is allowing 67.2 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its past 10 games, allowing 69.2 points per contest.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Lakers are sinking 6.9 three-pointers per game, 0.8 more than their season average (6.1). They also have a better three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (33.7%) compared to their season average (32.5%).

Mercyhurst betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-10-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 10-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 6-2-0 (As Favorite: 8-6-0; As Underdog: 9-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-14-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 6-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-3; Away: 2-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.6 (162nd in nation) 44.0 (169th) 29.0 (319th) 31.1 (192nd) 13.9 (175th) 8.9 (14th)
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