Cent. Conn. St. vs. Saint Francis (PA) betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 28

Data Skrive

The Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (17-11, 11-6 NEC) host the Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash (7-23, 5-12 NEC) after winning four home games in a row. The Blue Devils are favored by 9.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The matchup has an over/under of 153.5 points.

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Spread

Cent. Conn. St. Cover -9.5 vs Saint Francis (PA) -105

Bet $20, Payout $39.05

Cent. Conn. St. vs. Saint Francis (PA) betting lines

  • Cent. Conn. St. moneyline odds to win: -478
  • Saint Francis (PA) moneyline odds to win: +350
  • Spread: Cent. Conn. St. (-9.5)
  • Total: 153.5

Cent. Conn. St. statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Cent. Conn. St. has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered three times in 10 games when playing at home, and it has covered 11 times in 16 games on the road.
  • The Blue Devils have hit the over on the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (80%) than road games (43.8%).
  • Cent. Conn. St. has played better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, sporting a home record of 7-2, compared to going 5-2 on the road.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Blue Devils have been scoring 69.5 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 74.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • The past 10 games have seen Cent. Conn. St. allow 2.4 fewer points per game (68.8) than its season-long average (71.2).
  • During their last 10 contests, the Blue Devils are making 0.8 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (6.6 compared to 7.4 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (34.2% compared to 36.9% season-long).

Cent. Conn. St. betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 11-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-11-0 (Home: 8-2-0; Away: 7-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-4 (Home: 7-2; Away: 5-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.4 (52nd in nation) 42.9 (100th) 31.6 (209th) 30.1 (123rd) 14.0 (168th) 10.0 (80th)

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Saint Francis (PA) statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2025-26 against the spread, Saint Francis (PA) has a lower winning percentage at home (.455, 5-6-0 record) than on the road (.467, 7-8-0).
  • Red Flash games have gone above the over/under less often at home (six times out of 11) than away (nine of 15) this year.
  • The Red Flash’s winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .125 (1-7), and away it is .143 (2-12).

Recent trends

  • Over their last 10 games, the Red Flash are posting 75.0 points per game, 3.3 more than their season average (71.7).
  • Saint Francis (PA) is giving up 83.1 points per game in its past 10 games, which is 1.7 more points than it is allowing for the season (81.4).
  • The Red Flash are draining 0.4 fewer three-pointers per game in their previous 10 games (7.5) compared to their season average (7.9), but they are delivering a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (35.5%) compared to their season mark (34.4%).

Saint Francis (PA) betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-15-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 7-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 9.5+: 6-6-0 (As Favorite: 2-1-0; As Underdog: 11-14-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-13-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 9-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-1 (Home: 2-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-21 (Home: 1-7; Away: 2-12)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.0 (300th in nation) 49.2 (358th) 29.1 (316th) 33.2 (308th) 13.6 (199th) 12.1 (288th)
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