The Baylor Bears (11-8, 1-6 Big 12) are underdogs (+3.5) as they try to end a three-game losing streak when they visit the Cincinnati Bearcats (10-10, 2-5 Big 12) at 6:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at Fifth Third Arena. The matchup airs on Fox Sports 1. The over/under for the matchup is 146.5.
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Cincinnati Cover -3.5 vs Baylor -119
Cincinnati vs. Baylor betting lines
- Cincinnati moneyline odds to win: -189
- Baylor moneyline odds to win: +157
- Spread: Cincinnati (-3.5)
- Total: 146.5
Cincinnati statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Cincinnati has fared better when playing at home, covering six times in 12 home games, and one time in five road games.
- The Bearcats have exceeded the total less consistently at home, hitting the over in four of 12 home matchups (33.3%). In road games, they have hit the over in two of five games (40%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Cincinnati has picked up the win in eight of nine games when playing at home, good for a .889 winning percentage. It has won zero of one game away from home (.000) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Bearcats have seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 70.9 points per game in their last 10 contests, 1.7 points fewer than the 72.6 they’ve scored this year.
- Cincinnati’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has given up 68.0 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 67.5 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
- The Bearcats are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 7.1 threes per game and shooting 28.3% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 8.2 makes and 30.0% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Cincinnati betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-12-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 1-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 5-5-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 3-6-0)
- O-U-P: 6-14-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-2 (Home: 8-1; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-8 (Home: 1-1; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.3 (317th in nation) | 41.4 (60th) | 34.9 (70th) | 31.7 (214th) | 16.9 (47th) | 12.0 (251st) |
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Baylor statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Baylor has been better at home (4-7-0) than on the road (1-3-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Bears games have finished over more frequently at home (eight of 11, 72.7%) than away (one of four, 25%).
- The Bears, as moneyline underdogs, have won the same percentage of games at home (0-3) as away (0-2) this season.
Recent trends
- While the Bears are scoring 86.5 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, amassing 84.5 points per contest.
- Over its last 10 games, Baylor is allowing 74.8 points per contest, compared to its season average of 77.0 points allowed.
- The Bears are sinking 8.7 treys per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 0.1 more than their average for the season (8.6). Likewise, they have a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (37.0%) compared to their season average from three-point land (36.2%).
Baylor betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-11-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 0-3-0 (As Favorite: 7-5-0; As Underdog: 0-6-0)
- O-U-P: 11-7-0 (Home: 8-3-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-2 (Home: 6-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-6 (Home: 0-3; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.9 (32nd in nation) | 43.7 (174th) | 36.3 (40th) | 29.3 (82nd) | 16.6 (55th) | 11.5 (199th) |

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