Cincinnati vs. UCF betting: Big 12 Tournament preview for March 11

Data Skrive

The No. 8 seed UCF Knights (20-10, 9-9 Big 12) are 2.5-point underdogs in their Big 12 Tournament matchup against the No. 9 seed Cincinnati Bearcats (18-14, 9-9 Big 12) on Wednesday at T-Mobile Center, tipping off at 3 p.m. ET on ESPNU. The winner moves one step closer to the conference championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is set at 147.5 in the matchup.

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Cincinnati Cover -2.5 vs UCF -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Cincinnati vs. UCF betting lines

  • Cincinnati moneyline odds to win: -145
  • UCF moneyline odds to win: +119
  • Spread: Cincinnati (-2.5)
  • Total: 147.5

Cincinnati statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Bearcats’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, racking up 77.5 points per contest compared to the 73.4 they’ve averaged this season.
  • Cincinnati’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (68.1) is 0.5 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (67.6).
  • The Bearcats’ last 10 contests have seen them make 10.4 three-pointers per game while shooting 41.6% from deep. Both numbers are up compared to their 2025-26 averages of 8.9 makes and 33.7%.

Cincinnati betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-18-0 (Home: 10-8-0; Away: 3-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 9-9-0 (As Favorite: 10-9-0; As Underdog: 4-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-19-0 (Home: 7-11-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-3 (Home: 13-2; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-11 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.4 (288th in nation) 41.5 (43rd) 34.0 (75th) 31.2 (199th) 16.7 (39th) 11.0 (197th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Cincinnati vs. UCF? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

UCF statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • Over their last 10 games, the Knights are scoring 78.6 points per game, compared to their season average of 82.2.
  • In its last 10 games, UCF is ceding 82.6 points per contest, 3.8 more points than its season average (78.8).
  • The Knights are making 7.1 treys per contest in their past 10 games, which is 1.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (8.2). Additionally, they have a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (37.2%) compared to their season average from downtown (37.8%).

UCF betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-16-0 (Home: 8-10-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 7-6-0 (As Favorite: 4-10-0; As Underdog: 10-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-16-0 (Home: 10-8-0; Away: 3-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 10-3; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 9-7 (Home: 3-2; Away: 5-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.4 (55th in nation) 45.9 (270th) 33.4 (100th) 29.5 (88th) 16.1 (58th) 11.0 (197th)
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About Ryan Knuppel

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