The Cleveland Cavaliers (45-28) are favored by 5.5 points against the Miami Heat (39-34) on Friday, March 27, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on NBA TV, FDSOH, and FDSSUN. The matchup has an over/under of 242.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Cavaliers Cover -5.5 vs Heat -112
Cavaliers vs. Heat betting lines
- Cavaliers odds to win: -226
- Heat odds to win: +186
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)
- Total: 242.5
Cavaliers Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Cleveland is 23-14 in home contests with a 15-22 record against the spread at home.
- Cleveland’s record against the spread is 10-15 when playing as 5.5-point favorites or more at home this year.
- Cavaliers games have gone over the set point total 14 times at home this season.
- Recent performance seems to trend against Cleveland to beat the total. Their home games have averaged a total of 235.4 points per contest this season.
Cavaliers Recent Trends
- The Cavaliers are 2-7-1 against the spread in their past 10 games, and have a 6-4 straight-up record in those contests.
- The Cavaliers and their opponents have hit the over in five of those 10 games.
- The last 10 Cavaliers games averaged 232.5 total points, 10.0 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
- Over their last 10 games, the Cavaliers have a points-per-game average 0.9 points below their season-long scoring average.
Cavaliers Betting Records
- The Cavaliers have compiled a 38-21 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 64.4% of those games).
- Cleveland has a record of 26-9 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -226 or shorter (winning 74.3%).
- The Cavaliers have an implied moneyline win probability of 69.3% in this matchup.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 (eighth in NBA) | 46.4 (ninth) | 44.3 (12th) | 43.5 (14th) | 28.2 (eighth) | 13.3 (ninth) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Heat are 16-20 in road contests and have covered the spread 22 times on the road.
- This year, the Heat are 3-2 ATS on the road when playing as 5.5-point underdogs or more.
- On the road this season, Heat games have hit the over on the set point total 19 times.
- The Heat and their opponents have averaged a total of 235.7 points per road contest this year, 6.8 points fewer than this game’s projected total.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have a 5-5 record straight-up in their past 10 matchups, while covering the spread six times in those games.
- Heat’s last 10 outings saw seven hit the over.
- The Heat’s last 10 games have ended with an average of 236.6 points scored. That’s 5.9 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- The Heat’s per-game scoring average over their past 10 games is 121.3, 1.1 points higher than their season-long per-game average.
Heat Betting Records
- Miami has won 17, or 45.9%, of the 37 games it has played as underdogs this season.
- This season, the Heat have won four of their 13 games, or 30.8%, when they’re the underdog by at least +186 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 35.0% chance of a victory for the Heat.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.5 (18th in NBA) | 46.0 (seventh) | 46.6 (third) | 46.8 (29th) | 28.7 (sixth) | 13.3 (ninth) |
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