The No. 2 seed Cleveland State Vikings (20-11, 14-6 Horizon League) are favored by 4.5 points when they play the No. 7 seed Northern Kentucky Norse (17-15, 11-9 Horizon League) in the Horizon League Tournament Thursday at Wolstein Center, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the Horizon League championship. The matchup’s point total is set at 140.5.
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Cleveland State Cover -4.5 vs Northern Kentucky -109
Cleveland State vs. Northern Kentucky betting lines
- Cleveland State moneyline odds to win: -186
- Northern Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +155
- Spread: Cleveland State (-4.5)
- Total: 140.5
Cleveland State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Cleveland State has done a better job covering the spread at home (9-6-0) than it has in road games (8-6-0).
- The Vikings have hit the over on the total in three of 15 home games (20%). They’ve fared better on the road, topping the total in seven of 14 matchups (50%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Cleveland State has won a lower percentage of its games when playing at home (.750) compared to road games (1.000).
Recent trends
- On offense, the Vikings have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 72.3 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 73.6 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
- Cleveland State’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has allowed 70.0 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 66.4 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
- The Vikings are trending up from deep over their last 10 outings, making 7.1 threes per game and shooting 33.6% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 6.6 makes and 33.1% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
Cleveland State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-12-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 8-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 6-5-0 (As Favorite: 9-6-0; As Underdog: 8-6-0)
- O-U-P: 10-18-1 (Home: 3-11-1; Away: 7-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 9-3; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-8 (Home: 1-1; Away: 5-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.1 (162nd in nation) | 42.9 (123rd) | 31.1 (231st) | 28.5 (42nd) | 14.1 (142nd) | 10.9 (150th) |
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Northern Kentucky statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This season, Northern Kentucky is 7-10-0 at home against the spread (.412 winning percentage). On the road, it is 4-10-0 ATS (.286).
- Norse games have finished above the over/under less often at home (seven times out of 17) than away (seven of 14) this year.
- The Norse, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-2) than away (3-8) this season.
Recent trends
- Over their previous 10 games, the Norse are scoring 80.5 points per game, 8.4 more than their season average (72.1).
- While Northern Kentucky is allowing 72.2 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse in its previous 10 games, allowing 75.4 points per contest.
- The Norse are draining 8.7 threes per game in their last 10 games, which is 0.9 more than their average for the season (7.8). Likewise, they have a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (37.3%) compared to their season average from downtown (33.0%).
Northern Kentucky betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-20-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 4-10-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 2-7-0 (As Favorite: 8-10-0; As Underdog: 3-10-0)
- O-U-P: 14-16-1 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 7-6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-5 (Home: 10-4; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 0-2; Away: 3-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.1 (222nd in nation) | 44.8 (236th) | 30.7 (258th) | 31.6 (212th) | 14.2 (132nd) | 11.3 (193rd) |
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