The Denver Broncos, led by Courtland Sutton, will square off against the Kansas City Chiefs at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday for a Week 11 NFL contest. Let’s take a look at Sutton’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this outing to help you come up with good predictions.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Courtland Sutton to go over 48.5 yards
Courtland Sutton Prop Lines
- Matchup: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Date: November 16, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 48.5 (-113)
Courtland Sutton Stats and Trends
- Sutton’s 66 targets have resulted in 41 catches for a team-leading 590 yards (59.0 per game) and four scores so far this season.
- Sutton’s 59.0 receiving yards per game are 10.5 more than his prop total for Sunday’s contest.
- In 60.0% of his games this season (six of 10), Sutton has collected over 48.5 receiving yards.
- He has an average receiving yards over/under of 60.3. But he is accumulating 1.3 less yards per game than that.
- Sutton has gone over on his prop for receiving yards in six of 10 games this season.
- In four of 10 games this season, he has a touchdown catch, but no games with more than one.
Recent Performances vs. the Chiefs
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chargers | 304 | 3 |
| 2 | Eagles | 94 | 0 |
| 3 | Giants | 151 | 0 |
| 4 | Ravens | 194 | 1 |
| 5 | Jaguars | 210 | 1 |
| 6 | Lions | 199 | 2 |
| 7 | Raiders | 70 | 0 |
| 8 | Commanders | 200 | 1 |
| 9 | Bills | 263 | 1 |
Broncos Home Splits
- In home games, the Broncos score 27 points per game and concede 15.6. That’s more than they score overall (23.5), but less than they allow (17.3).
- The Broncos’ average yards gained at home (376.4) is higher than their overall average (334.6). But their average yards conceded at home (241.2) is lower than overall (270.7).
- At home, the Broncos rack up 228 passing yards per game and give up 156.2. That’s more than they gain overall (206), and less than they allow (179.5).
- The Broncos rack up 148.4 rushing yards per game at home (19.8 more than their overall average), and give up 85 at home (6.2 less than overall).
- At home, the Broncos convert 43.1% of third downs and allow 27.3% to be converted. That’s more than they convert overall (37.6%), and less than they allow (28.1%).
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