The CSU Northridge Matadors (9-7, 2-2 Big West) are 7.5-point favorites as they attempt to extend a seven-game home winning streak when they host the Cal Poly Mustangs (6-10, 2-2 Big West) on Thursday, January 8, 2026 at Premier America Credit Union Arena. The contest airs at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total is set at 174.5 in the matchup.
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CSU Northridge Cover -7.5 vs Cal Poly -112
CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly betting lines
- CSU Northridge moneyline odds to win: -352
- Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: +279
- Spread: CSU Northridge (-7.5)
- Total: 174.5
CSU Northridge statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- CSU Northridge has done a better job covering the spread in home games (5-0-0) than it has in road affairs (3-4-0).
- The Matadors have exceeded the total in a lower percentage of games at home (60%) than road games (85.7%).
- As a moneyline favorite, CSU Northridge has an identical winning percentage when playing at home compared to when playing away from home (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Matadors have been putting up 80.7 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly higher than the 80.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- CSU Northridge has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 76.9 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 78.2 it has conceded per game this year.
- Over their last 10 contests, the Matadors are making 0.4 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.8 compared to 7.4 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (32.5% compared to 32.0% season-long).
CSU Northridge betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-6-0 (Home: 5-0-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 4-0-0; As Underdog: 4-6-0)
- O-U-P: 9-5-0 (Home: 3-2-0; Away: 6-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-0 (Home: 3-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 2-0; Away: 1-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.3 (245th in nation) | 42.2 (105th) | 36.6 (42nd) | 31.1 (177th) | 16.4 (75th) | 13.3 (318th) |
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Cal Poly statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Cal Poly has a lower winning percentage at home (.250, 1-3-0 record) than away (.556, 5-4-0).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Mustangs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, two of four) compared to on the road (66.7%, six of nine).
- The Mustangs’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .333 (1-2), and on the road it is .375 (3-5).
Recent trends
- While the Mustangs are averaging 80.7 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, producing 80.0 points per contest.
- In its past 10 games, Cal Poly is ceding 85.0 points per game, 0.1 fewer points than its season average (85.1).
- The Mustangs are draining 10.7 three-pointers per contest in their past 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (10.8). Additionally, they sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (33.1%) compared to their season average from downtown (34.1%).
Cal Poly betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-8-0 (Home: 1-3-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 5-2-0 (As Favorite: 0-2-0; As Underdog: 6-6-0)
- O-U-P: 8-6-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-8 (Home: 1-2; Away: 3-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.1 (314th in nation) | 45.0 (265th) | 35.6 (69th) | 33.6 (304th) | 12.7 (291st) | 15.5 (362nd) |
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