CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 5

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The CSU Northridge Matadors (13-10, 6-5 Big West) hit the road in Big West play against the Cal Poly Mustangs (9-14, 5-6 Big West) on Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET. The Matadors are 2.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 177.5.

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CSU Northridge Cover -2.5 vs Cal Poly -104

Bet $20, Payout $39.23

CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly betting lines

  • CSU Northridge moneyline odds to win: -133
  • Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: +112
  • Spread: CSU Northridge (-2.5)
  • Total: 177.5

CSU Northridge statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • CSU Northridge has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered seven times in nine opportunities at home, and it has covered four times in 10 opportunities on the road.
  • When it comes to point totals, the Matadors hit the over less often at home, as they’ve gone over the total six times in nine opportunities this season (66.7%). On the road, they have hit the over seven times in 10 opportunities (70%).
  • CSU Northridge has fared worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, posting a home record of 5-1, compared to going 1-0 in road games.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Matadors have been putting up 81.5 points per contest, an average that’s a little higher than the 81.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • CSU Northridge’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (81.5) is 2.2 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (79.3).
  • While the Matadors are knocking down fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (6.9 per game) compared to their season-long average (7.3), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (32.7% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 32.2% on the season).

CSU Northridge betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-10-0 (Home: 7-2-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-2-0; As Underdog: 6-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-8-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 7-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-1 (Home: 5-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-9 (Home: 3-0; Away: 2-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.8 (210th in nation) 42.3 (88th) 37.3 (20th) 31.1 (186th) 17.1 (38th) 13.1 (328th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Cal Poly statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Cal Poly has been better against the spread on the road (8-5-0) than at home (2-5-0) this year.
  • Looking at the over/under, Mustangs games have finished over less frequently at home (two of seven, 28.6%) than on the road (10 of 13, 76.9%).
  • The Mustangs, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (2-4) than on the road (4-7) this year.

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Mustangs are posting 79.6 points per contest, 1.9 fewer points than their season average (81.5).
  • Over its previous 10 games, Cal Poly is giving up 84.7 points per contest, compared to its season average of 86.4 points allowed.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Mustangs are draining 10.3 treys per game, 0.4 fewer threes than their season average (10.7). They also own a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (30.4%) compared to their season average (33.6%).

Cal Poly betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-11-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 8-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 6-5-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 9-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-9-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 10-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-12 (Home: 2-4; Away: 4-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.3 (285th in nation) 46.6 (311th) 33.5 (111th) 33.3 (304th) 13.1 (250th) 15.4 (364th)
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