The UMBC Retrievers (1-0) are double-digit, 26.5-point underdogs against the Dayton Flyers (1-0) at UD Arena on Saturday, November 8, 2025. The game begins at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5 points.
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Spread
Bet $20, Payout $39.05
Dayton Cover -26.5 vs UMBC -105
Dayton vs. UMBC betting lines
- Dayton moneyline odds to win: -10000
- UMBC moneyline odds to win: +2750
- Spread: Dayton (-26.5)
- Total: 154.5
Dayton statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In home games last season, Dayton had a worse record against the spread (7-10-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (5-4-0).
- The Flyers exceeded the over/under less often when playing at home last season, hitting the over in 11 of 17 home matchups (64.7%). On the road, they hit the over in six of nine games (66.7%).
- As a moneyline favorite last season, Dayton won 14 of 15 games when playing at home, good for a .933 winning percentage. Dayton won three of seven games away from home (.429) as a moneyline favorite.
Last season stats
- The Flyers scored 75.4 points per game and allowed 70.8 last year, ranking them 134th in the nation on offense and 140th defensively.
- On the glass, Dayton was 239th in the nation in rebounds (30.9 per game) last season. It was 104th in rebounds allowed (30.1 per game).
- The Flyers were 69th in college basketball in assists (15.2 per game) last season.
Dayton betting records last season
- ATS Record: 15-16-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- O-U-P: 20-11-0 (Home: 11-6-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-6 (Home: 14-1; Away: 3-4)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-4 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.8 (112th in nation) | 43.8 (176th) | 30.9 (239th) | 30.1 (104th) | 15.2 (69th) | 10.0 (71st) |
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UMBC statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Last season, UMBC was 4-11-0 at home against the spread (.267 winning percentage). Away, it was 9-6-0 ATS (.600).
- Retrievers games went above the over/under 66.7% of the time both at home (10 of 15) and away (10 of 15) last year.
- The Retrievers’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs was .167 (1-5) last year, and away it was .333 (4-8).
Last season stats
- The Retrievers’ defensive performance was 22nd-worst in the country last season with 78.8 points allowed per game, but offensively they were more consistent, putting up 80.0 points per game (38th-ranked in college basketball).
- UMBC ranked 294th in the nation with 30.0 boards per game, but it allowed 35.7 rebounds per game, which ranked sixth-worst in college basketball.
- Last season the Retrievers ranked 99th in college basketball in assists, putting up 14.6 per game.
UMBC betting records last season
- ATS Record: 13-17-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 9-6-0)
- O-U-P: 20-9-1 (Home: 10-4-1; Away: 10-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-6 (Home: 4-4; Away: 1-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-13 (Home: 1-5; Away: 4-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.6 (17th in nation) | 46.4 (317th) | 30.0 (294th) | 35.7 (353rd) | 14.6 (99th) | 11.0 (164th) |
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