The Dayton Flyers (21-9, 12-5 A-10) are just 1.5-point favorites as they try to build on a four-game home win streak when they square off against the VCU Rams (23-7, 14-3 A-10) on Friday, March 6, 2026 at UD Arena. The contest airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The over/under is set at 148.5 for the matchup.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Dayton Cover -1.5 vs VCU -111
Dayton vs. VCU betting lines
- Dayton moneyline odds to win: -128
- VCU moneyline odds to win: +108
- Spread: Dayton (-1.5)
- Total: 148.5
Dayton statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Dayton has done a better job covering the spread in home games (8-8-0) than it has in road games (4-6-1).
- The Flyers have gone over the over/under less often at home, hitting the over in four of 16 home matchups (25%). In away games, they have hit the over in four of 11 games (36.4%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Dayton has won 12 of 14 games at home, good for a .857 winning percentage. It has won three of five games on the road (.600) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Flyers have been racking up 73.2 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 75.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
- Dayton’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (73.2) is 3.0 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (70.2).
- During their last 10 outings, the Flyers are making 0.2 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.8 compared to 7.6 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (39.6% compared to 34.4% season-long).
Dayton betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-15-1 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 4-6-1)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 9-11-1 (As Favorite: 9-11-1; As Underdog: 5-4-0)
- O-U-P: 11-19-0 (Home: 4-12-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-4 (Home: 12-2; Away: 3-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 3-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.3 (176th in nation) | 43.5 (131st) | 30.0 (286th) | 31.2 (205th) | 14.5 (128th) | 11.5 (233rd) |
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VCU statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- VCU’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .412 (7-10-0). On the road, it is .556 (5-4-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Rams games have gone over 11 of 17 times at home (64.7%), and three of nine on the road (33.3%).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Rams are averaging 79.9 points per game, 3.0 fewer points than their season average (82.9).
- While VCU is surrendering 72.5 points per game in 2025-26, it has improved that mark over its past 10 games, allowing 70.2 points per contest.
- The Rams are draining 8.9 three-pointers per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.5 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (9.4). In addition, they sport a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (36.0%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (36.3%).
VCU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-15-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 13-13-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
- O-U-P: 15-15-0 (Home: 11-6-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 23-3 (Home: 15-2; Away: 6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.1 (128th in nation) | 43.2 (109th) | 34.0 (76th) | 29.8 (105th) | 14.3 (143rd) | 10.5 (135th) |
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