Northwest Stadium features Week 10 action as the Washington Commanders and Deebo Samuel match up against the Detroit Lions at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday. With prop bets in place for Samuel in this outing, let’s break down the stats and trends to help you make good predictions.

Deebo Samuel Prop Lines

• Matchup: Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• Date: November 9, 2025
• Receiving yards prop: Over 55.5 (-112)

Deebo Samuel Stats and Trends

• Samuel’s stat line reveals 42 grabs for a team-leading 367 yards and three scores. He is averaging 45.9 yards per game, and has been targeted 55 times.
• Samuel averages 45.9 receiving yards, 9.6 fewer than the prop total of 55.5 that has been set for Sunday’s matchup.
• In 37.5% of his games this season (three of eight), Samuel has put up over 55.5 receiving yards.
• His season average of 45.9 receiving yards is 5.4 less than his average over/under (51.3).
• Samuel has hit the over on his receiving yards prop bet in 37.5% of his games (three of eight).
• He has three games with a touchdown catch this year, out of eight played, but only a single TD each time.

Recent Performances vs. the Lions

Commanders Home Splits

• In home games, the Commanders score 25 points per game and give up 23.3. That’s more than they score overall (22.3), but less than they allow (26.2).
• The Commanders’ average yards gained at home (362.8) is higher than their overall average (329.4). But their average yards conceded at home (346) is lower than overall (377.8).
• The Commanders’ average passing yards gained (187.3) and allowed (246) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 189.6 and 253.6, respectively.
• The Commanders accumulate 175.5 rushing yards per game at home (35.6 more than their overall average), and concede 100 at home (24.2 less than overall).
• The Commanders convert 42.9% of third downs in home games (3.3% higher than their overall average), and give up 33.3% at home (8.3% lower than overall).