Week 16 of the NFL season features Deebo Samuel and the Washington Commanders facing the Philadelphia Eagles at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday. With prop bets in place for Samuel in this matchup, let’s break down the stats and trends to help you make good predictions.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Deebo Samuel to go over 44.5 yards
Deebo Samuel Prop Lines
- Matchup: Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles
- Time: 5 p.m. ET
- Date: December 20, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 44.5 (-113)
Deebo Samuel Stats and Trends
- Samuel’s 86 targets have resulted in 65 grabs for a team-leading 604 yards (46.5 per game) and five scores this season.
- Samuel’s 46.5 receiving yards per game are 2.0 more than his prop total for Saturday’s outing.
- Samuel has put up over 44.5 receiving yards in 38.5% of his opportunities this year (five out of 13).
- He has an average receiving yards prop total of 49. But he accumulates 2.5 fewer yards per game than that.
- Samuel has hit the over on his receiving yards prop bet in 46.2% of his games (six of 13).
- He has five games with a touchdown catch this year, out of 13 played, but only a single TD each time.
Recent Performances vs. the Eagles
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cowboys | 188 | 0 |
| 2 | Chiefs | 173 | 1 |
| 3 | Rams | 196 | 2 |
| 4 | Buccaneers | 272 | 2 |
| 5 | Broncos | 228 | 1 |
| 6 | Giants | 194 | 1 |
| 7 | Vikings | 298 | 0 |
| 8 | Giants | 178 | 1 |
| 10 | Packers | 157 | 0 |
| 11 | Lions | 243 | 1 |
| 12 | Cowboys | 348 | 2 |
| 13 | Bears | 144 | 1 |
| 14 | Chargers | 106 | 1 |
| 15 | Raiders | 29 | 0 |
Commanders Home Splits
- In home games, the Commanders score 24.7 points per game and concede 27.3. That is more than they score (20.8) and allow (26.8) overall.
- At home, the Commanders accumulate 359.7 yards per game and give up 389.5. That’s more than they gain (328.4) and allow (382.9) overall.
- The Commanders’ average passing yards gained (203.3) and allowed (269.8) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 191.3 and 246.3, respectively.
- The Commanders’ average yards rushing at home (156.3) is higher than their overall average (137.1). And their average yards conceded at home (119.7) is lower than overall (136.6).
- The Commanders convert 40.6% of third downs at home (2.3% higher than their overall average), and concede 38.2% at home (three% lower than overall).
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