The Denver Nuggets (14-5) host the Dallas Mavericks (6-15) after losing three home games in a row. The Nuggets are heavy favorites by 11.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, December 1, 2025. The over/under in the matchup is set at 235.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.87
Nuggets Cover -11.5 vs Mavericks -106
Nuggets vs. Mavericks betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -546
- Mavericks odds to win: +404
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
- Total: 235.5
- TV Channel: Altitude Sports
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Denver has a 5-4 ATS record in home games so far while putting up a record of 6-3 overall in those contests.
- This season, Denver has a 2-2 record ATS at home when playing as 11.5-point favorites or more.
- The Nuggets have hit the over in six of their nine home games this year with a set over/under (66.7%).
- This season at home, Denver and its opponents have averaged a total of 237.4 points per contest, 1.9 points greater than the over/under for this contest.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets are 7-3 overall and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 games.
- The Nuggets’ past 10 games saw seven go over the total.
- The Nuggets’ last 10 games have ended with an average of 236.3 points scored. That’s 0.8 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- During their last 10 games, the Nuggets have scored 0.5 more points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets have gone 13-4 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 76.5% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -546 or shorter, Denver has a record of 4-2 (66.7% win percentage).
- The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Nuggets an 84.5% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.1 (second in NBA) | 45.6 (sixth) | 45.7 (ninth) | 40.0 (third) | 29.5 (fifth) | 13.4 (fourth) |
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Mavericks Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Mavericks have covered the spread five times on the road and are 2-6 in road contests.
- The Mavericks have hit the over in two of their eight road games this season with a set over/under (25%).
- Recent performance seems to go against the Mavericks to beat the total. Their road games have averaged a total of 231.1 points per contest this season.
Mavericks Recent Trends
- The Mavericks have covered the spread five times in their past 10 matchups while putting up a 3-7 record straight-up in those games.
- Mavericks’ past 10 games saw four hit the over.
- The Mavericks’ past 10 games have ended with an average of 231.0 points scored. That’s 4.5 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- During their last 10 games, the Mavericks have scored 3.3 more points per contest compared to their 110.2 PPG season-long scoring average.
Mavericks Betting Records
- This season, Dallas has won three out of the 14 games, or 21.4%, in which it has been the underdog.
- This season, the Mavericks have been at least a +404 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.
- The Mavericks have a 19.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 (26th in NBA) | 45.8 (seventh) | 44.8 (12th) | 48.7 (28th) | 24.0 (27th) | 15.7 (27th) |
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