The Dallas Mavericks (11-19) are underdogs (by 6.5 points) to extend a four-game home winning streak when they host the Denver Nuggets (21-7) on Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET. The over/under in the matchup is 236.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.35
Nuggets Cover -6.5 vs Mavericks -109
Nuggets vs. Mavericks betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -242
- Mavericks odds to win: +198
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
- Total: 236.5
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Denver has covered the spread nine times on the road and are 12-2 in road contests.
- This season, Denver has a 5-2 record ATS in road games when playing as 6.5-point favorites or more.
- On the road this season, Nuggets games have gone over the set point total nine times.
- Denver and its opponents have averaged a total of 235.5 points per road contest this year, 1.0 point fewer than this game’s listed total.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have covered the spread six times in their past 10 contests while putting up a 8-2 record straight-up in those games.
- The Nuggets’ last 10 contests saw seven go over the total.
- The past 10 Nuggets games averaged 1.4 more points (237.9) than this matchup’s over/under.
- Over the last 10 games, the Nuggets are scoring 1.0 point more per game compared to their season average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets have put together a 19-5 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 79.2% of those games).
- In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -242 or shorter, Denver has a record of 14-4 (77.8% win percentage).
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Nuggets have an implied win probability of 70.8%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.3 (first in NBA) | 46.6 (13th) | 44.4 (14th) | 41.3 (fifth) | 29.5 (third) | 12.5 (third) |
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Mavericks Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- At home this year, Mavericks games have gone over the set point total seven times.
- The Mavericks are 8-9 in home contests and have covered the spread nine times at home.
- This season, the Mavericks have a 1-2 record ATS in home games when playing as 6.5-point underdogs or more.
- Recent history seems to trend against the Mavericks to beat the total. Their home games have averaged a total of 228.6 points per contest this season.
Mavericks Recent Trends
- The Mavericks are 6-4 overall and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 contests.
- The Mavericks and their opponents have combined to hit the over in six of the past 10 games.
- The last 10 Mavericks games averaged 231.0 total points, 5.5 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
- The Mavericks’ per-game scoring average during their last 10 games is 119.1, 6.1 points higher than their season-long per-game average.
Mavericks Betting Records
- Dallas has won seven, or 35%, of the 20 games it has played as underdogs this season.
- The Mavericks are 3-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +198 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Mavericks based on the moneyline is 33.6%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.2 (20th in NBA) | 45.8 (sixth) | 44.8 (13th) | 48 (29th) | 25 (24th) | 15.1 (22nd) |
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