The Golden State Warriors (5-4) are 9.5-point underdogs as they look to break a four-game road losing streak when they take on the Denver Nuggets (5-2) on Friday, November 7, 2025 at Ball Arena. The contest airs at 10 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video. The over/under is 228.5 in the matchup.
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Nuggets Cover -9.5 vs Warriors -114
Nuggets vs. Warriors betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -444
- Warriors odds to win: +340
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
- Total: 228.5
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Denver is 4-0 in home contests with a 3-1 record against the spread at home.
- Denver’s record against the spread is 3-1 as 9.5-point favorites or more at home this year.
- The Nuggets have hit the over in two of their four home games this year with a set over/under (50%).
- This season at home, Denver and its opponents have averaged a total of 237.6 points per contest, 9.1 points greater than the over/under for this contest.
Nuggets ATS Trends Last Season
- Against the spread, the Nuggets were 38-44-0 last year.
- The Nuggets went 8-8 as 9.5-point favorites or more last season.
- In 82 Nuggets games last year, 49 of them went over the total.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets have won 83.3% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (5-1).
- Denver has won all three games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -444 or shorter.
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Nuggets’ implied win probability is 81.6%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.3 (third in NBA) | 45.4 (seventh) | 47.9 (fifth) | 39.7 (fourth) | 30.3 (second) | 13.4 (fifth) |
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Warriors Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Warriors are 1-4 in road contests with a 1-4 record against the spread on the road.
- The Warriors have a 0-1 record ATS in road games this year as 9.5-point underdogs or more.
- Warriors road games have hit the over on the set point total three times this season.
- This season on the road the Warriors and their opponents have averaged a total of 228.5 points per contest, the same as the over/under for this contest.
Warriors ATS Trends Last Season
- The Warriors had 42 wins in 82 games against the spread last year.
- The Warriors had one win ATS (1-1) as underdogs of 9.5 points or more last season.
- In 82 Warriors games last year, 41 of them went over the total.
Warriors Betting Records
- Golden State has split the two games it has played as underdogs this season.
- The Warriors have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +340.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 22.7% chance of a victory for the Warriors.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.8 (16th in NBA) | 47.9 (20th) | 41.8 (23rd) | 42.2 (11th) | 28.3 (fifth) | 16.4 (26th) |
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