The Denver Nuggets (36-21) are favored by 6.5 points against the Golden State Warriors (29-27) on Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on ABC. The matchup has an over/under set at 229.5 points.
Check out all the Latest NBA Betting Previews!
Spread
Bet $20, Payout $39.05
Nuggets Cover -6.5 vs Warriors -105
Nuggets vs. Warriors betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -245
- Warriors odds to win: +200
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
- Total: 229.5
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Denver is 21-10 in road contests with a 20-11 record against the spread on the road.
- This year, Denver is 7-3 ATS on the road when playing as 6.5-point favorites or more.
- Nuggets road games have gone over the set point total 21 times this year.
- Recent performance hints at an edge to Denver to beat the total. This year its road games averaged a total of 233.1 points per contest.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have a 5-5 record straight-up in their last 10 contests, while covering the spread four times in those games.
- The Nuggets’ past 10 contests saw eight hit the over.
- The last 10 Nuggets games averaged 229.7 total points, 0.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- The Nuggets’ per-game scoring average across their last 10 games is 2.5 points higher than their season-long average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets are 27-11 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 71.1% of those games).
- In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -245 or shorter, Denver has a record of 18-4 (81.8% win percentage).
- The Nuggets have an implied moneyline win probability of 71.0% in this contest.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.6 (second in NBA) | 46.7 (13th) | 43 (21st) | 42.6 (eighth) | 28.2 (ninth) | 12.1 (third) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Nuggets vs. Warriors? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Warriors Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- The Warriors have hit the over in 18 of their 29 home games this year with a set over/under (62.1%).
- The Warriors have a 14-15 ATS record in home games so far while going 18-11 overall in those contests.
- The Warriors have a 10-5 record ATS at home this year when playing as 6.5-point underdogs or more.
- Recent history seems to trend against the Warriors to beat the total. Their home games have averaged a total of 229.2 points per contest this season.
Warriors Recent Trends
- The Warriors have covered the spread three times in their last 10 contests while putting up a 4-6 record straight-up in those games.
- The Warriors and their opponents have combined to hit the over in five of the past 10 games.
- The Warriors’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 223.7 points scored. That’s 5.8 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- The Warriors’ per-game scoring average across their last 10 games is 108.9, 6.5 points lower than their season-long per-game average.
Warriors Betting Records
- This season, Golden State has been the underdog 17 times and won six, or 35.3%, of those games.
- This season, the Warriors have won one of their seven games when they’re the underdog by at least +200 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 33.3% chance of a victory for the Warriors.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.1 (22nd in NBA) | 47.2 (18th) | 42.5 (24th) | 44.9 (18th) | 28.9 (fifth) | 14.9 (25th) |
Author Profile
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
