The Memphis Grizzlies (20-32) are heavy underdogs (by 13.5 points) to stop a three-game road losing streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets (34-20) on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET. The over/under for the matchup is 239.5.
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Nuggets Cover -13.5 vs Grizzlies -115
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -719
- Grizzlies odds to win: +510
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)
- Total: 239.5
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Denver is 14-11 in home contests with a 12-13 record against the spread at home.
- This season, Denver is 0-1 ATS at home when playing as 13.5-point favorites or more.
- The Nuggets have hit the over in 14 of their 25 home games this season with a set over/under (56%).
- This season at home Denver and its opponents have averaged a total of 232.7 points per contest, 6.8 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have a 5-5 record straight-up in their last 10 contests, while covering the spread six times in those games.
- The final score of the last 10 Nuggets games has exceeded the set total six times.
- The last 10 Nuggets games averaged 224.7 total points, 14.8 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
- Over their past 10 games, the Nuggets have a points-per-game average 4.6 points below their season-long scoring average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets have been the moneyline favorite 35 total times this season. They’ve gone 25-10 in those games.
- Denver has a record of 2-1 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -719 or shorter (winning 66.7%).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Nuggets’ implied win probability is 87.8%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.4 (second in NBA) | 46.8 (14th) | 42.6 (23rd) | 42.9 (ninth) | 28 (ninth) | 11.9 (second) |
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Grizzlies Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Grizzlies are 9-17 in road contests and have covered the spread 12 times on the road.
- Grizzlies games have gone over the set point total 11 times on the road this year.
- Recent history seems to trend against the Grizzlies to beat the total. Their road games have averaged a total of 233.1 points per contest this season.
Grizzlies Recent Trends
- The Grizzlies have a 2-8 record straight-up in their past 10 matchups, while covering the spread five times in those games.
- Grizzlies’ past 10 games saw seven hit the over.
- The past 10 Grizzlies games averaged 9.3 fewer points (230.2) than this matchup’s over/under.
- During their last 10 games, the Grizzlies have scored 0.1 fewer points per contest compared to their 115.3 PPG season-long scoring average.
Grizzlies Betting Records
- This season, Memphis has been the underdog 35 times and won nine, or 25.7%, of those games.
- The Grizzlies have played as an underdog of +510 or more once this season and lost that game.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 16.4% chance of a victory for the Grizzlies.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.8 (26th in NBA) | 46.8 (14th) | 45.3 (ninth) | 45 (23rd) | 28.7 (fifth) | 14.8 (24th) |
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