Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks (32-25) are 3.5-point underdogs against Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (38-20) Thursday, February 27, 2025 at Fiserv Forum. The matchup begins at 8 p.m. ET on TNT, ALT, truTV, and MAX. The over/under in the matchup is 241.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.52
Nuggets Cover -3.5 vs Bucks -108
Nuggets vs. Bucks betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -161
- Bucks odds to win: +134
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
- Total: 241
- TV Channel: Altitude Sports
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Denver has a 14-15 record against the spread on the road and are 18-11 in road contests.
- This year, Denver is 7-9 ATS in road games when playing as 3.5-point favorites or more.
- On the road this season, Nuggets games have gone over the set point total 16 times.
- This season on the road, Denver and its opponents have averaged a total of 231.6 points per contest, 9.4 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have covered the spread seven times in their past 10 contests while putting up a 9-1 record straight-up in those games.
- The final score of the last 10 Nuggets games has exceeded the set total four times.
- The last 10 Nuggets games averaged 233.9 total points, 7.1 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
- During their past 10 games, the Nuggets have scored 2.9 more points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets have won 69.6% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (32-14).
- Denver has gone 27-9 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -161 or shorter (winning 75%).
- The Nuggets have an implied moneyline win probability of 61.7% in this matchup.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.9 (first in NBA) | 46.3 (12th) | 45.9 (fourth) | 42.1 (fourth) | 31.3 (first) | 13.6 (17th) |
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Bucks Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- The Bucks have hit the over in 15 of their 29 home games this season with a set over/under (51.7%).
- The Bucks have covered the spread 16 times at home and is 20-9 in home contests.
- The Bucks have a 13-9 record ATS in home games this year as 3.5-point underdogs or more.
- Recent history seems to trend against the Bucks to beat the total. Their home games have averaged a total of 227.1 points per contest this season.
Bucks Recent Trends
- The Bucks have covered the spread four times in their past 10 matchups while putting up a 6-4 record straight-up in those games.
- Bucks’ past 10 contests saw three go over the total.
- The last 10 Bucks games averaged 227.2 total points, 13.8 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
- In the past 10 games, the Bucks are scoring 110.4 points per game compared to their 113.9 season average.
Bucks Betting Records
- This season, Milwaukee has won five out of the 16 games, or 31.2%, in which it has been the underdog.
- This season, the Bucks have won three of their 13 games, or 23.1%, when they’re the underdog by at least +134 on the moneyline.
- The Bucks have a 42.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.9 (seventh in NBA) | 45.1 (second) | 43.8 (19th) | 46.1 (26th) | 25.1 (22nd) | 13.1 (ninth) |
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