The Minnesota Timberwolves bring a 3-2 lead into a decisive Game 6 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs. The Nuggets are favored by 6.5 points in the matchup, which airs on ESPN at 9:30 p.m. ET. The matchup’s over/under is 225.5.
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Nuggets Cover -6.5 vs Timberwolves -110
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -256
- Timberwolves odds to win: +208
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
- Total: 225.5
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Denver is 26-15 in road contests with a 24-17 record against the spread on the road.
- This year, Denver is 7-7 ATS in road games as 6.5-point favorites or more.
- The Nuggets have hit the over on a set point total in a road game 29 times this year.
- Denver and its opponents have averaged a total of 234.5 points per road contest this season, 9.0 points greater than this game’s posted total.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets are 7-3 overall and 5-5 against the spread in their past 10 contests.
- The Nuggets’ past 10 games saw seven go over the total.
- The last 10 Nuggets games averaged 233.5 total points, 8.0 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- Across their past 10 games, the Nuggets have scored 1.0 fewer point per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets are 42-16 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 72.4% of those games).
- Denver has gone 28-6 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -256 or shorter (winning 82.4%).
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Nuggets’ implied win probability is 71.9%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.6 (second in NBA) | 46.8 (13th) | 44.0 (14th) | 42.8 (ninth) | 29.0 (fourth) | 12.2 (third) |
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Timberwolves Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- The Timberwolves have gone over a set point total in a home game 14 times this year.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread 18 times at home and is 26-15 in home contests.
- The Timberwolves’ record against the spread is 10-15 when playing as 6.5-point underdogs or more at home this season.
- Recent history hints at an edge to the Timberwolves to beat the total. This year their home games averaged a total of 231.5 points per contest.
Timberwolves Recent Trends
- The Timberwolves have a 6-4 record straight-up in their past 10 contests, while covering the spread six times in those games.
- The final scores of the last 10 Timberwolves games have gone over the set total six times.
- The last 10 Timberwolves games averaged 230.5 total points, 5.0 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- Over the past 10 games, the Timberwolves are scoring 118.2 points per game compared to their 118.0 season average.
Timberwolves Betting Records
- Minnesota has won eight, or 34.8%, of the 23 games it has played as underdogs this season.
- The Timberwolves are 3-3 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +208 or more on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 32.5% chance of a victory for the Timberwolves.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.1 (ninth in NBA) | 46.2 (seventh) | 44.1 (12th) | 43.7 (15th) | 26.1 (16th) | 14.1 (19th) |
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