Anthony Edwards and the Minnesota Timberwolves (23-21) are 4.5-point underdogs against Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (28-16) Saturday, January 25, 2025 at Target Center. The game tips off at 3:00 PM ET on ABC and ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 228.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.52
Nuggets Cover -4.5 vs Timberwolves -108
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -185
- Timberwolves odds to win: +153
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
- Total: 228.5
- TV Channel: ABC
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Denver has covered the spread 12 times on the road and are 14-8 in road contests.
- Denver has gone 4-5 ATS on the road this year as 4.5-point favorites or more.
- Nuggets games have hit the over on the set point total 13 times on the road this season.
- Recent performance gives an edge to Denver to beat the total. This year its road games averaged a total of 229.7 points per contest.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have covered the spread eight times in their past 10 matchups while putting up a 8-2 record straight-up in those games.
- The final score of the past 10 Nuggets games has exceeded the set total six times.
- The past 10 Nuggets games averaged 1.7 more points (230.2) than this matchup’s over/under.
- During their last 10 games, the Nuggets have a points-per-game average 0.6 points above their season-long scoring average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets have been the moneyline favorite 33 total times this season. They’ve finished 22-11 in those games.
- Denver has a record of 16-5 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -185 or shorter (winning 76.2%).
- The Nuggets have an implied moneyline win probability of 64.9% in this matchup.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.3 (first in NBA) | 46.1 (12th) | 46 (fourth) | 42.7 (seventh) | 31 (first) | 13.6 (14th) |
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Timberwolves Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Timberwolves home games have gone over the set point total 11 times this season.
- The Timberwolves are 10-10 in home contests and have covered the spread four times at home.
- The Timberwolves have gone 4-7 ATS in home games this year when playing as 4.5-point underdogs or more.
- Recent performance seems to go against the Timberwolves to beat the total. Their home games have averaged a total of 219.3 points per contest this season.
Timberwolves Recent Trends
- The Timberwolves have a 6-4 record straight-up in their last 10 contests, while covering the spread four times in those games.
- Timberwolves’ last 10 outings saw five go over the total.
- The Timberwolves’ past 10 outings have ended with an average of 220.3 points scored. That’s 8.2 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- The Timberwolves’ per-game scoring average during their past 10 games is 113.0, 2.9 points higher than their season-long per-game average.
Timberwolves Betting Records
- This season, Minnesota has been the underdog nine times and won three of those games.
- The Timberwolves have a record of 1-4 when they’re set as an underdog of +153 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The Timberwolves have a 39.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.9 (17th in NBA) | 45.3 (sixth) | 43.8 (19th) | 43.2 (10th) | 24.9 (23rd) | 14.7 (21st) |
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