The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-10) are underdogs (+1.5) as they attempt to extend a three-game win streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets (21-8) at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 25, 2025 at Ball Arena. The contest airs on ABC and ESPN. The point total in the matchup is 238.5.
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Nuggets Cover -1.5 vs Timberwolves -105
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -115
- Timberwolves odds to win: -104
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
- Total: 238.5
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Denver is 9-5 in home contests and have covered the spread eight times at home.
- Denver has a 7-5 record ATS at home this season when playing as 1.5-point favorites or more.
- The Nuggets have gone over a set point total in a home game nine times this season.
- This season at home Denver and its opponents have averaged a total of 238.1 points per contest, 0.4 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets are 7-3 overall and 5-5 against the spread over their past 10 contests.
- The final score of the past 10 Nuggets games has exceeded the set total seven times.
- The Nuggets’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 238.4 points scored. That’s 0.1 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- During their past 10 games, the Nuggets have scored 0.9 more points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets have gone 19-6 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 76% of those games).
- Denver has gone 18-6 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -115 or shorter (winning 75%).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Nuggets’ implied win probability is 53.5%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.5 (first in NBA) | 47 (15th) | 44.1 (17th) | 41.1 (third) | 29.8 (third) | 12.6 (third) |
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Timberwolves Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread five times on the road and are 8-5 in road contests.
- The Timberwolves have a 3-7 record ATS in road games this year when playing as 1.5-point underdogs or more.
- The Timberwolves have hit the over on a set point total in a road game eight times this year.
- The Timberwolves and their opponents have averaged a total of 230.5 points per road contest this year, 8.0 points fewer than this game’s projected total.
Timberwolves Recent Trends
- The Timberwolves are 8-2 overall and 4-6 against the spread over their last 10 contests.
- The final scores of the last 10 Timberwolves games have exceeded the set total three times.
- The Timberwolves’ past 10 outings have ended with an average of 229.7 points scored. That’s 8.8 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- Across their past 10 games, the Timberwolves have scored 1.3 fewer points per contest compared to their 118.5 PPG season-long scoring average.
Timberwolves Betting Records
- This season, Minnesota has won two out of the six games in which it has been the underdog.
- The Timberwolves have entered five games this season as the underdog by -104 or more and is 2-3 in those contests.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Timberwolves have a 51.0% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.6 (12th in NBA) | 45.5 (fifth) | 44.3 (16th) | 44 (14th) | 26.3 (13th) | 13.9 (12th) |

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