The Denver Nuggets (40-22) will look to Nikola Jokic (third in the league scoring 28.8 points per game) when they attempt to hold off Devin Booker (ninth in the NBA with 25.9 PPG) and the Phoenix Suns (29-33) on Friday, March 7, 2025 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are 7-point home favorites in the game, which begins at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN, ALT, and AZFamily. The matchup has a point total of 238.5.
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Nuggets Cover -7 vs Suns -109
Nuggets vs. Suns betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -273
- Suns odds to win: +222
- Spread: Nuggets (-7)
- Total: 238.5
- TV Channel: Altitude Sports
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Denver is 21-9 in home contests and have covered the spread 16 times at home.
- Denver’s record against the spread is 9-4 as 7-point favorites or more in home games this year.
- The Nuggets have hit the over in 19 of their 30 home games this year with a set over/under (63.3%).
- Recent performance seems to trend against Denver to beat the total. Their home games have averaged a total of 231.5 points per contest this season.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets are 7-3 overall and 5-5 against the spread over their last 10 games.
- The final score of the last 10 Nuggets games has gone over the set total four times.
- The Nuggets’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 236.6 points scored. That’s 1.9 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- Over the last 10 games, the Nuggets are scoring 0.9 points more per game compared to their season average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets have gone 33-15 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 68.8% of those games).
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -273 or shorter, Denver has gone 20-4 (83.3% win percentage).
- The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Nuggets a 73.2% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.7 (first in NBA) | 46.3 (12th) | 46 (third) | 42.3 (fifth) | 31.1 (first) | 13.6 (18th) |
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Suns Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Suns have a 12-19 ATS record in road games so far while going 11-20 overall in those contests.
- This season, the Suns are 1-1 ATS in road games as 7-point underdogs or more.
- On the road this year, Suns games have gone over the set point total 20 times.
- Recent history seems to go against the Suns to beat the total. Their road games have averaged a total of 228.0 points per contest this season.
Suns Recent Trends
- The Suns are 3-7 overall and 4-6 against the spread over their past 10 games.
- The Suns and their opponents have combined to hit the over in six of the past 10 games.
- The Suns’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 234.0 points scored. That’s 4.5 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- The Suns’ per-game scoring average during their last 10 games is 116.8, 3.0 points higher than their season-long per-game average.
Suns Betting Records
- This season, Phoenix has won six out of the 25 games, or 24%, in which it has been the underdog.
- The Suns have not won as an underdog of +222 or more on the moneyline this season in seven such games.
- The implied probability of a win by the Suns based on the moneyline is 31.1%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.7 (ninth in NBA) | 46.4 (15th) | 42.7 (25th) | 45.1 (21st) | 27.7 (10th) | 13.3 (13th) |
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