Derek Carr and the New Orleans Saints take the field against the AFC’s Cleveland Browns in a Week 11 NFL matchup at 1:00 PM ET Sunday. In this article, we dig into all of Carr’s prop bets available for this matchup, and examine the stats and insights to figure out the best bets and top trends before kickoff.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.39
Derek Carr to go over 214.5 yards
Derek Carr Prop Lines
- Matchup: New Orleans Saints vs. Cleveland Browns
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Date: November 17, 2024
- Passing yards prop: Over 214.5 (-115)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 1.5 (-115)
Derek Carr Stats and Trends
- Carr has thrown for 1,494 yards (213.4 per game), completing 67.4% of his passes, with 11 TDs and four INTs.
- Carr’s passing yardage average this year — 213.4 yards per game — is 1.1 lower than Sunday’s over/under.
- In seven games this season, Carr has topped 214.5 passing yards four times.
- His passing yards average of 213.4 yards this season is less than his average prop bet total (220.4) by seven passing yards.
- This season, Carr has exceeded his passing yards prop total in four of seven opportunities.
- He has tossed a touchdown pass in six of seven games this season, with more than one TD throw four times.
- Carr has also run 12 times for 39 yards and one score, averaging 5.6 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Browns
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cowboys | 163 | 1 |
| 2 | Jaguars | 196 | 0 |
| 3 | Giants | 228 | 2 |
| 4 | Raiders | 116 | 0 |
| 5 | Commanders | 219 | 1 |
| 6 | Eagles | 256 | 2 |
| 7 | Bengals | 164 | 2 |
| 8 | Ravens | 263 | 2 |
| 9 | Chargers | 246 | 2 |
Saints Home Splits
- The Saints’ average points scored (23.2) and allowed (25.2) in home games are both higher than their overall averages of 22.7 and 24.6, respectively.
- The Saints accumulate 307.4 yards per game at home (27.4 less than their overall average), and concede 420.8 at home (35.2 more than overall).
- The Saints’ average passing yards gained (198.8) and allowed (238.2) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 212.4 and 244.6, respectively.
- At home, the Saints rack up 108.6 rushing yards per game and give up 182.6. That’s less than they gain overall (122.4), and more than they allow (141).
- The Saints convert 39.1% of third downs at home (0.9% higher than their overall average), and give up 37.3% at home (0.5% lower than overall).
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